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Millet in Koupela

CENTRE-EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 23% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

276–389

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

251–408

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 23% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 276 and 389 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 251 and 408 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Koupela: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 23% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 276 and 389 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 251 and 408 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 302–358 323 292–371 424 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 292–375 325 270–378 412 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 276–389 324 230–417 406 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 261–396 324 226–432 396 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 251–408 323 184–469 396 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026313
Aug 2026319
Jul 2026327
Jun 2026323
May 2026321
Apr 2026325
Mar 2026337
Feb 2026333
Jan 2026346
Dec 2025345
Nov 2025337
Oct 2025353
Sept 2025377
Aug 2025391
Jul 2025393
Jun 2025408
May 2025395
Apr 2025399
Mar 2025399
Feb 2025397
Jan 2025392
Dec 2024375
Nov 2024395
Oct 2024445
Sept 2024437
Aug 2024467
Jul 2024418
Jun 2024368
May 2024359
Apr 2024355
Mar 2024326
Feb 2024317
Jan 2024316
Dec 2023310
Nov 2023306
Oct 2023303
Sept 2023313
Aug 2023318
Jul 2023315
Jun 2023332
May 2023321
Apr 2023317
Mar 2023320
Feb 2023305
Jan 2023323
Dec 2022368
Nov 2022418
Oct 2022445
Sept 2022442
Aug 2022427
Jul 2022399
Jun 2022386
May 2022391
Apr 2022392
Mar 2022357
Feb 2022313
Jan 2022322
Dec 2021310
Nov 2021301
Oct 2021274
Sept 2021275
Aug 2021275
Jul 2021246
Jun 2021275
May 2021268
Apr 2021256
Mar 2021258
Feb 2021264
Jan 2021246
Dec 2020239
Nov 2020231
Oct 2020235
Sept 2020248
Aug 2020233
Jul 2020212
Jun 2020208
May 2020206
Apr 2020203
Mar 2020204
Feb 2020206
Jan 2020191
Dec 2019191
Nov 2019202
Oct 2019198
Sept 2019195
Aug 2019213
Jul 2019223
Jun 2019223
May 2019224
Apr 2019220
Mar 2019220
Feb 2019220
Jan 2019220
Dec 2018223
Nov 2018225
Oct 2018243
Sept 2018274
Aug 2018272
Jul 2018277
Jun 2018275
May 2018273
Apr 2018253
Mar 2018248
Feb 2018256
Jan 2018240
Dec 2017254
Nov 2017247
Oct 2017234
Sept 2017245
Aug 2017244
Jul 2017228
Jun 2017230
May 2017218
Apr 2017219
Mar 2017202
Feb 2017194
Jan 2017194
Dec 2016180
Nov 2016210
Oct 2016211
Sept 2016209
Aug 2016193
Jul 2016193
Jun 2016195
May 2016199
Apr 2016193
Mar 2016193
Feb 2016194
Jan 2016193
Dec 2015193
Nov 2015195
Oct 2015200
Sept 2015204
Aug 2015193
Jul 2015197
Jun 2015186
May 2015192
Apr 2015193
Mar 2015182
Feb 2015181
Jan 2015203

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3382-73-retail-kg.