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Food basket in Koupela

CENTRE-EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe).

Not included: cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

3,818–5,366

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

3,566–5,635

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 4,516 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 3,818 and 5,366 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 3,566 and 5,635 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Koupela: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 4,516 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 3,818 and 5,366 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 3,566 and 5,635 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,0008,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 4,293–4,980 4,539 4,142–5,150
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 4,108–5,155 4,562 3,796–5,292
Nov 2026
Next month		 3,818–5,366 4,519 3,272–5,717
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 3,664–5,506 4,545 3,183–5,922
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 3,566–5,635 4,568 2,686–6,351
Cost history (140 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20264,417
Aug 20264,516
Jul 20264,601
Jun 20264,542
May 20264,522
Apr 20264,586
Mar 20264,717
Feb 20264,687
Jan 20264,840
Dec 20254,844
Nov 20254,676
Oct 20254,929
Sept 20255,230
Aug 20255,525
Jul 20255,593
Jun 20255,798
May 20255,635
Apr 20255,711
Mar 20255,726
Feb 20255,741
Jan 20255,744
Dec 20245,359
Nov 20245,451
Oct 20246,256
Sept 20246,589
Aug 20246,769
Jul 20246,031
Jun 20245,291
May 20245,149
Apr 20245,088
Mar 20244,621
Feb 20244,486
Jan 20244,411
Dec 20234,289
Nov 20234,234
Oct 20234,183
Sept 20234,271
Aug 20234,338
Jul 20234,271
Jun 20234,501
May 20234,352
Apr 20234,303
Mar 20234,333
Feb 20234,126
Jan 20234,407
Dec 20224,942
Nov 20225,531
Oct 20225,972
Sept 20226,067
Aug 20225,968
Jul 20225,688
Jun 20225,514
May 20225,567
Apr 20225,512
Mar 20225,168
Feb 20224,620
Jan 20224,717
Dec 20214,503
Nov 20214,393
Oct 20214,030
Sept 20214,187
Aug 20214,123
Jul 20213,654
Jun 20214,022
May 20213,911
Apr 20213,686
Mar 20213,692
Feb 20213,748
Jan 20213,506
Dec 20203,385
Nov 20203,254
Oct 20203,319
Sept 20203,494
Aug 20203,280
Jul 20202,985
Jun 20202,885
May 20202,909
Apr 20202,855
Mar 20202,846
Feb 20202,884
Jan 20202,650
Dec 20192,641
Nov 20192,757
Oct 20192,731
Sept 20192,678
Aug 20192,882
Jul 20193,027
Jun 20193,052
May 20193,106
Apr 20193,059
Mar 20193,022
Feb 20193,086
Jan 20193,099
Dec 20183,115
Nov 20183,110
Oct 20183,335
Sept 20183,868
Aug 20183,851
Jul 20183,905
Jun 20183,880
May 20183,836
Apr 20183,598
Mar 20183,550
Feb 20183,648
Jan 20183,388
Dec 20173,543
Nov 20173,439
Oct 20173,269
Sept 20173,496
Aug 20173,479
Jul 20173,267
Jun 20173,269
May 20173,125
Apr 20173,145
Mar 20172,924
Feb 20172,821
Jan 20172,755
Dec 20162,560
Nov 20162,934
Oct 20163,036
Sept 20163,091
Aug 20162,894
Jul 20162,847
Jun 20162,871
May 20162,919
Apr 20162,845
Mar 20162,847
Feb 20162,859
Jan 20162,829
Dec 20152,775
Nov 20152,776
Oct 20152,846
Sept 20152,948
Aug 20152,806
Jul 20152,841
Jun 20152,695
May 20152,772
Apr 20152,766
Mar 20152,647
Feb 20152,631

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burkina Faso

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 83% 96% 4% 2,526
Estimate (this month) 81% 96% 7% 2,519
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,515
In 2 months 79% 94% 13% 2,512
In 3 months 78% 94% 17% 2,508