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Beans (niebe) in Manga

CENTRE-SUD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 22% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

298–500

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

327–562

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 22% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 3% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 298 and 500 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 327 and 562 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Manga: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 22% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 3% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 298 and 500 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 327 and 562 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 389–477 435 349–526 596 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 322–486 405 238–530 480 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 298–500 388 212–588 463 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 295–524 408 186–600 496 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 327–562 436 253–581 571 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026463
Aug 2026439
Jul 2026473
Jun 2026425
May 2026427
Apr 2026476
Mar 2026476
Feb 2026489
Jan 2026456
Dec 2025371
Nov 2025448
Oct 2025416
Sept 2025518
Aug 2025578
Jul 2025586
Jun 2025625
May 2025623
Apr 2025664
Mar 2025657
Feb 2025708
Jan 2025639
Dec 2024579
Nov 2024470
Oct 2024536
Sept 2024825
Aug 2024695
Jul 2024613
Jun 2024517
May 2024532
Apr 2024484
Mar 2024473
Feb 2024473
Jan 2024453
Dec 2023374
Nov 2023345
Oct 2023352
Sept 2023343
Aug 2023336
Jul 2023324
Jun 2023344
May 2023331
Apr 2023312
Mar 2023363
Feb 2023386
Jan 2023383
Dec 2022355
Nov 2022336
Oct 2022458
Sept 2022530
Aug 2022599
Jul 2022608
Jun 2022601
May 2022588
Apr 2022600
Mar 2022609
Feb 2022542
Jan 2022608
Dec 2021563
Nov 2021488
Oct 2021417
Sept 2021627
Aug 2021509
Jul 2021492
Jun 2021454
May 2021460
Apr 2021445
Mar 2021448
Feb 2021449
Jan 2021428
Dec 2020390
Nov 2020387
Oct 2020355
Sept 2020450
Aug 2020445
Jul 2020396
Jun 2020381
May 2020379
Apr 2020391
Mar 2020381
Feb 2020391
Jan 2020375
Dec 2019304
Nov 2019266
Oct 2019258
Sept 2019266
Aug 2019268
Jul 2019272
Jun 2019296
May 2019313
Apr 2019322
Mar 2019320
Feb 2019324
Jan 2019336
Dec 2018305
Nov 2018284
Oct 2018295
Sept 2018396
Aug 2018445
Jul 2018416
Jun 2018369
May 2018377
Apr 2018379
Mar 2018424
Feb 2018430
Jan 2018414
Dec 2017334
Nov 2017320
Oct 2017336
Sept 2017402
Aug 2017363
Jul 2017351
Jun 2017356
May 2017352
Apr 2017352
Mar 2017356
Feb 2017361
Jan 2017359
Dec 2016307
Nov 2016272
Oct 2016316
Sept 2016410
Aug 2016395
Jul 2016374
Jun 2016376
May 2016356
Apr 2016369
Mar 2016371
Feb 2016406
Jan 2016354
Dec 2015336
Nov 2015328
Oct 2015305
Sept 2015359
Aug 2015359
Jul 2015344
Jun 2015344
May 2015336
Apr 2015328
Mar 2015335
Feb 2015339
Jan 2015330

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3383-120-retail-kg.