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Maize (white) in Manga

CENTRE-SUD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 33% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

124–176

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

122–187

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 33% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 124 and 176 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 122 and 187 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Manga: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 33% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 124 and 176 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 122 and 187 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 148–170 159 130–174 244 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 130–173 158 106–179 223 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 124–176 154 103–191 219 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 120–182 156 92.2–217 223 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 122–187 158 89.7–233 227 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026183
Aug 2026157
Jul 2026159
Jun 2026157
May 2026159
Apr 2026157
Mar 2026160
Feb 2026162
Jan 2026163
Dec 2025166
Nov 2025171
Oct 2025163
Sept 2025189
Aug 2025205
Jul 2025232
Jun 2025236
May 2025250
Apr 2025247
Mar 2025254
Feb 2025246
Jan 2025247
Dec 2024218
Nov 2024223
Oct 2024258
Sept 2024272
Aug 2024267
Jul 2024273
Jun 2024238
May 2024233
Apr 2024236
Mar 2024236
Feb 2024234
Jan 2024221
Dec 2023213
Nov 2023216
Oct 2023233
Sept 2023243
Aug 2023249
Jul 2023252
Jun 2023252
May 2023245
Apr 2023250
Mar 2023256
Feb 2023250
Jan 2023260
Dec 2022250
Nov 2022240
Oct 2022240
Sept 2022273
Aug 2022314
Jul 2022314
Jun 2022307
May 2022287
Apr 2022285
Mar 2022255
Feb 2022253
Jan 2022242
Dec 2021226
Nov 2021214
Oct 2021182
Sept 2021201
Aug 2021184
Jul 2021182
Jun 2021204
May 2021206
Apr 2021190
Mar 2021176
Feb 2021165
Jan 2021162
Dec 2020162
Nov 2020160
Oct 2020156
Sept 2020169
Aug 2020175
Jul 2020157
Jun 2020145
May 2020139
Apr 2020139
Mar 2020133
Feb 2020129
Jan 2020137
Dec 2019143
Nov 2019130
Oct 2019125
Sept 2019138
Aug 2019136
Jul 2019151
Jun 2019163
May 2019167
Apr 2019166
Mar 2019167
Feb 2019175
Jan 2019157
Dec 2018163
Nov 2018154
Oct 2018178
Sept 2018181
Aug 2018192
Jul 2018196
Jun 2018178
May 2018172
Apr 2018174
Mar 2018180
Feb 2018176
Jan 2018172
Dec 2017173
Nov 2017165
Oct 2017175
Sept 2017192
Aug 2017188
Jul 2017180
Jun 2017180
May 2017172
Apr 2017162
Mar 2017158
Feb 2017152
Jan 2017147
Dec 2016147
Nov 2016158
Oct 2016165
Sept 2016185
Aug 2016188
Jul 2016188
Jun 2016180
May 2016172
Apr 2016172
Mar 2016170
Feb 2016170
Jan 2016164
Dec 2015179
Nov 2015178
Oct 2015186
Sept 2015188
Aug 2015182
Jul 2015170
Jun 2015170
May 2015159
Apr 2015139
Mar 2015139
Feb 2015143
Jan 2015151

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3383-67-retail-kg.