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Millet in Manga

CENTRE-SUD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 21% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

196–306

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

172–307

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 21% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 19% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 196 and 306 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 172 and 307 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Manga: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 21% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 19% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 196 and 306 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 172 and 307 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400500202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 210–271 241 205–305 317 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 201–288 242 200–316 314 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 196–306 239 191–350 323 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 172–303 234 124–360 298 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 172–307 232 124–366 301 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026269
Aug 2026241
Jul 2026217
Jun 2026204
May 2026203
Apr 2026218
Mar 2026246
Feb 2026254
Jan 2026237
Dec 2025240
Nov 2025244
Oct 2025238
Sept 2025242
Aug 2025243
Jul 2025268
Jun 2025296
May 2025314
Apr 2025341
Mar 2025369
Feb 2025333
Jan 2025322
Dec 2024324
Nov 2024382
Oct 2024395
Sept 2024383
Aug 2024388
Jul 2024371
Jun 2024306
May 2024303
Apr 2024288
Mar 2024271
Feb 2024256
Jan 2024259
Dec 2023252
Nov 2023268
Oct 2023281
Sept 2023263
Aug 2023264
Jul 2023265
Jun 2023277
May 2023271
Apr 2023295
Mar 2023276
Feb 2023284
Jan 2023283
Dec 2022284
Nov 2022354
Oct 2022384
Sept 2022401
Aug 2022410
Jul 2022386
Jun 2022367
May 2022332
Apr 2022340
Mar 2022321
Feb 2022266
Jan 2022253
Dec 2021243
Nov 2021236
Oct 2021215
Sept 2021208
Aug 2021202
Jul 2021189
Jun 2021211
May 2021248
Apr 2021242
Mar 2021226
Feb 2021224
Jan 2021219
Dec 2020225
Nov 2020242
Oct 2020215
Sept 2020217
Aug 2020229
Jul 2020203
Jun 2020194
May 2020180
Apr 2020183
Mar 2020163
Feb 2020167
Jan 2020169
Dec 2019170
Nov 2019165
Oct 2019161
Sept 2019160
Aug 2019156
Jul 2019151
Jun 2019165
May 2019177
Apr 2019164
Mar 2019161
Feb 2019173
Jan 2019187
Dec 2018204
Nov 2018191
Oct 2018194
Sept 2018202
Aug 2018204
Jul 2018227
Jun 2018217
May 2018211
Apr 2018218
Mar 2018222
Feb 2018218
Jan 2018220
Dec 2017213
Nov 2017261
Oct 2017219
Sept 2017238
Aug 2017234
Jul 2017217
Jun 2017229
May 2017217
Apr 2017213
Mar 2017208
Feb 2017197
Jan 2017198
Dec 2016175
Nov 2016212
Oct 2016206
Sept 2016215
Aug 2016206
Jul 2016217
Jun 2016218
May 2016208
Apr 2016200
Mar 2016198
Feb 2016187
Jan 2016194
Dec 2015184
Nov 2015203
Oct 2015191
Sept 2015195
Aug 2015199
Jul 2015211
Jun 2015189
May 2015191
Apr 2015185
Mar 2015168
Feb 2015162
Jan 2015186

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3383-73-retail-kg.