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Maize (white) in N'Dorola

HAUTS-BASSINS, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 44% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

58.9–98.4

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

56.7–112

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 44% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 5% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 58.9 and 98.4 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 56.7 and 112 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), N'Dorola: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 44% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 5% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 58.9 and 98.4 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 56.7 and 112 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 80.1–101 89.1 66.6–107 161 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 63.3–99.7 82.1 44–102 132 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 58.9–98.4 79.7 36.4–115 130 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 58.7–105 85.6 34.1–125 142 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 56.7–112 85 29.8–156 143 –
Price history (140 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 202692
Aug 202688
Jul 202688
Jun 202686
May 202693
Apr 2026105
Mar 2026105
Feb 202699
Jan 202692
Dec 2025127
Nov 2025121
Oct 202590
Sept 2025105
Aug 2025152
Jul 2025179
Jun 2025174
May 2025215
Apr 2025211
Mar 2025206
Feb 2025197
Jan 2025177
Dec 2024161
Nov 2024138
Oct 2024188
Sept 2024200
Aug 2024184
Jul 2024164
Jun 2024151
May 2024134
Apr 2024138
Mar 2024139
Feb 2024138
Jan 2024140
Dec 2023128
Nov 2023120
Oct 2023126
Sept 2023140
Aug 2023138
Jul 2023153
Jun 2023150
May 2023158
Apr 2023160
Mar 2023163
Feb 2023163
Jan 2023156
Dec 2022150
Nov 2022138
Oct 2022135
Sept 2022173
Aug 2022211
Jul 2022230
Jun 2022250
May 2022250
Apr 2022215
Feb 2022174
Jan 2022174
Dec 2021169
Nov 2021139
Oct 2021146
Sept 2021164
Aug 2021160
Jul 2021157
Jun 2021168
May 2021167
Apr 2021139
Mar 2021134
Feb 2021125
Jan 2021109
Dec 2020100
Nov 202086
Oct 2020109
Sept 2020113
Aug 2020104
Jul 202094
Jun 202094
May 202088
Apr 202081
Mar 202081
Feb 202081
Jan 202077
Dec 201974
Nov 201968
Oct 201965
Sept 201986
Aug 201983
Jul 201983
Jun 201991
May 201991
Apr 201993
Mar 2019111
Feb 2019104
Jan 201992
Dec 201889
Nov 201887
Oct 201897
Sept 2018133
Aug 2018146
Jul 2018150
Jun 2018148
May 2018144
Apr 2018139
Mar 2018139
Feb 2018139
Jan 2018118
Dec 2017115
Nov 2017104
Oct 201792
Sept 2017135
Aug 2017135
Jul 2017121
Jun 2017116
May 2017116
Apr 2017115
Mar 2017111
Feb 201797
Jan 201798
Dec 2016107
Nov 2016104
Oct 201694
Sept 2016125
Aug 2016115
Jul 2016136
Jun 2016125
May 2016122
Apr 2016109
Mar 2016104
Feb 201692
Jan 201692
Dec 201590
Nov 201582
Oct 201590
Sept 2015113
Aug 2015112
Jul 2015110
Jun 2015104
May 2015106
Apr 201597
Mar 201583
Feb 201583
Jan 201594

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3387-67-retail-kg.