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Millet in N'Dorola

HAUTS-BASSINS, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 27% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

224–377

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

216–410

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 26% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 224 and 377 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 216 and 410 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, N'Dorola: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 26% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 224 and 377 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 216 and 410 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 718); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 240–331 269 226–391 379 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 232–346 270 230–454 400 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 224–377 267 189–511 390 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 212–391 266 176–598 385 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 216–410 271 192–718 381 –
Price history (139 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026343
Aug 2026263
Jul 2026325
Jun 2026364
May 2026357
Apr 2026355
Mar 2026326
Feb 2026334
Jan 2026351
Dec 2025353
Nov 2025368
Sept 2025244
Aug 2025309
Jul 2025309
Jun 2025290
May 2025331
Apr 2025340
Mar 2025368
Feb 2025375
Jan 2025388
Dec 2024395
Nov 2024451
Oct 2024440
Sept 2024403
Aug 2024394
Jul 2024306
Jun 2024333
May 2024328
Apr 2024334
Mar 2024331
Feb 2024350
Jan 2024395
Dec 2023364
Nov 2023254
Oct 2023289
Sept 2023315
Aug 2023333
Jul 2023328
Jun 2023333
May 2023361
Apr 2023356
Mar 2023389
Feb 2023354
Jan 2023375
Dec 2022372
Nov 2022372
Oct 2022385
Sept 2022375
Aug 2022383
Jul 2022370
Jun 2022366
May 2022350
Apr 2022348
Feb 2022258
Jan 2022250
Dec 2021248
Nov 2021230
Oct 2021217
Sept 2021204
Aug 2021204
Jul 2021204
Jun 2021213
May 2021222
Apr 2021227
Mar 2021222
Feb 2021222
Jan 2021222
Dec 2020222
Nov 2020222
Oct 2020222
Sept 2020222
Aug 2020189
Jul 2020167
Jun 2020167
May 2020167
Apr 2020167
Mar 2020167
Feb 2020167
Jan 2020167
Dec 2019167
Nov 2019167
Oct 2019167
Sept 2019167
Aug 2019167
Jul 2019167
Jun 2019167
May 2019167
Apr 2019148
Mar 2019144
Feb 2019181
Jan 2019167
Dec 2018189
Nov 2018229
Oct 2018278
Sept 2018278
Aug 2018278
Jul 2018278
Jun 2018278
May 2018278
Apr 2018250
Mar 2018250
Feb 2018250
Jan 2018250
Dec 2017257
Nov 2017278
Oct 2017286
Sept 2017281
Aug 2017250
Jul 2017250
Jun 2017243
May 2017233
Apr 2017222
Mar 2017190
Feb 2017215
Jan 2017204
Dec 2016208
Nov 2016236
Oct 2016222
Sept 2016222
Aug 2016226
Jul 2016250
Jun 2016212
May 2016211
Apr 2016205
Mar 2016181
Feb 2016194
Jan 2016194
Dec 2015194
Nov 2015183
Oct 2015201
Sept 2015174
Aug 2015167
Jul 2015181
Jun 2015167
May 2015188
Apr 2015194
Mar 2015181
Feb 2015188
Jan 2015179

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3387-73-retail-kg.