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Beans (niebe) in Orodara

HAUTS-BASSINS, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 30% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

316–538

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

335–638

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

4%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 30% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 2% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 316 and 538 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 335 and 638 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Orodara: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 30% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 2% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 316 and 538 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 335 and 638 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02004006008001,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 432–542 477 391–606 679 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 339–527 424 310–677 524 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 316–538 407 257–692 505 4%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 318–579 426 221–779 550 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 335–638 464 209–648 615 –
Price history (117 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026465
Aug 2026472
Jul 2026472
Jun 2026462
May 2026480
Apr 2026472
Mar 2026459
Feb 2026488
Jan 2026476
Dec 2025471
Nov 2025480
Oct 2025569
Sept 2025643
Aug 2025693
Jul 2025699
Jun 2025788
May 2025683
Apr 2025719
Mar 2025734
Feb 2025723
Jan 2025663
Dec 2024583
Nov 2024481
Oct 2024606
Sept 2024921
Aug 2024920
Jul 2024817
Jun 2024727
May 2024758
Apr 2024667
Mar 2024608
Feb 2024523
Jan 2024558
Dec 2023414
Nov 2023365
Oct 2023375
Sept 2023399
Aug 2023407
Jul 2023430
Jun 2023467
May 2023509
Apr 2023507
Mar 2023545
Feb 2023536
Jan 2023493
Dec 2022462
Nov 2022471
Oct 2022483
Sept 2022737
Aug 2022719
Jul 2022697
Jun 2022722
May 2022688
Apr 2022661
Mar 2022556
Feb 2022500
Jan 2022516
Dec 2021531
Nov 2021461
Oct 2021502
Sept 2021597
Aug 2021567
Jul 2021547
Jun 2021484
May 2021463
Apr 2021462
Mar 2021456
Feb 2021417
Jan 2021385
Dec 2020353
Nov 2020319
Oct 2020311
Sept 2020374
Aug 2020412
Jul 2020406
Jun 2020403
May 2020467
Apr 2020450
Mar 2020467
Feb 2020382
Jan 2020358
Dec 2019319
Nov 2019272
Oct 2019232
Sept 2019347
Aug 2019319
Jul 2019365
Jun 2019367
May 2019425
Apr 2019433
Mar 2019396
Feb 2019368
Jan 2019332
Dec 2018290
Nov 2018271
Oct 2018295
Sept 2018428
Aug 2018500
Jul 2018475
Jun 2018467
May 2018467
Apr 2018467
Mar 2018467
Feb 2018467
Jan 2018365
Dec 2017350
Nov 2017344
Oct 2017306
Sept 2017368
Aug 2017410
Jul 2017417
Jun 2017410
May 2017417
Apr 2017375
Mar 2017389
Feb 2017361
Jan 2017396

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3388-120-retail-kg.