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Maize (white) in Orodara

HAUTS-BASSINS, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 36% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

102–156

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

99.8–167

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 36% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 102 and 156 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 99.8 and 167 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Orodara: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 36% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 102 and 156 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 99.8 and 167 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 131–155 142 117–159 230 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 116–157 142 97.2–161 210 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 102–156 129 72.8–176 187 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 99–162 134 63.4–199 191 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 99.8–167 135 63.8–210 199 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026143
Aug 2026141
Jul 2026141
Jun 2026139
May 2026139
Apr 2026142
Mar 2026140
Feb 2026139
Jan 2026142
Dec 2025145
Nov 2025155
Oct 2025159
Sept 2025178
Aug 2025216
Jul 2025249
Jun 2025310
May 2025268
Apr 2025273
Mar 2025256
Feb 2025237
Jan 2025227
Dec 2024194
Nov 2024183
Oct 2024243
Sept 2024260
Aug 2024250
Jul 2024241
Jun 2024216
May 2024221
Apr 2024203
Mar 2024192
Feb 2024176
Jan 2024164
Dec 2023145
Nov 2023165
Oct 2023185
Sept 2023183
Aug 2023197
Jul 2023188
Jun 2023187
May 2023221
Apr 2023235
Mar 2023221
Feb 2023210
Jan 2023203
Dec 2022194
Nov 2022170
Oct 2022222
Sept 2022233
Aug 2022226
Jul 2022253
Jun 2022265
May 2022268
Apr 2022265
Mar 2022221
Feb 2022194
Jan 2022197
Dec 2021192
Nov 2021160
Oct 2021183
Sept 2021200
Aug 2021191
Jul 2021191
Jun 2021206
May 2021194
Apr 2021176
Mar 2021167
Feb 2021162
Jan 2021132
Dec 2020131
Nov 2020125
Oct 2020135
Sept 2020147
Aug 2020156
Jul 2020134
Jun 2020127
May 2020135
Apr 2020119
Mar 2020113
Feb 2020108
Jan 2020103
Dec 2019102
Nov 201998
Oct 201999
Sept 2019107
Aug 201998
Jul 2019108
Jun 2019116
May 2019114
Apr 2019121
Mar 2019121
Feb 2019118
Jan 2019118
Dec 2018115
Nov 2018112
Oct 2018138
Sept 2018176
Aug 2018165
Jul 2018176
Jun 2018176
May 2018173
Apr 2018162
Mar 2018156
Feb 2018147
Jan 2018140
Dec 2017135
Nov 2017132
Oct 2017125
Sept 2017146
Aug 2017146
Jul 2017139
Jun 2017139
May 2017139
Apr 2017139
Mar 2017122
Feb 2017111
Jan 2017111
Dec 2016111
Nov 2016125
Oct 2016136
Sept 2016139
Aug 2016139
Jul 2016139
Jun 2016146
May 2016153
Apr 2016147
Mar 2016118
Feb 2016115
Jan 2016105
Dec 2015105
Nov 2015111
Oct 2015122
Sept 2015105
Aug 2015133
Jul 2015139
Jun 2015139
May 2015131
Apr 2015120
Mar 201599
Feb 201598
Jan 201598

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3388-67-retail-kg.