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Millet in Orodara

HAUTS-BASSINS, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 19% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

246–402

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

209–411

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 19% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 3% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 246 and 402 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 209 and 411 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Orodara: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 19% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 3% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 246 and 402 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 209 and 411 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 271–352 309 244–377 403 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 256–377 309 217–426 419 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 246–402 305 209–483 406 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 236–415 301 178–532 396 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 209–411 300 122–603 371 –
Price history (117 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026315
Aug 2026311
Jul 2026264
Jun 2026308
May 2026303
Apr 2026303
Mar 2026314
Feb 2026307
Jan 2026326
Dec 2025325
Nov 2025346
Oct 2025358
Sept 2025346
Aug 2025365
Jul 2025371
Jun 2025441
May 2025394
Apr 2025389
Mar 2025358
Feb 2025354
Jan 2025354
Dec 2024412
Nov 2024471
Oct 2024486
Sept 2024425
Aug 2024378
Jul 2024333
Jun 2024306
May 2024310
Apr 2024326
Mar 2024322
Feb 2024278
Jan 2024278
Dec 2023317
Nov 2023317
Oct 2023346
Sept 2023317
Aug 2023375
Jul 2023324
Jun 2023353
May 2023377
Apr 2023372
Mar 2023382
Feb 2023354
Jan 2023389
Dec 2022444
Nov 2022444
Oct 2022444
Sept 2022417
Aug 2022368
Jul 2022356
Jun 2022389
May 2022396
Apr 2022389
Mar 2022319
Feb 2022278
Jan 2022267
Dec 2021257
Nov 2021240
Oct 2021247
Sept 2021237
Aug 2021230
Jul 2021266
Jun 2021271
May 2021261
Apr 2021260
Mar 2021254
Feb 2021235
Jan 2021243
Dec 2020247
Nov 2020243
Oct 2020261
Sept 2020267
Aug 2020244
Jul 2020229
Jun 2020222
May 2020222
Apr 2020215
Mar 2020197
Feb 2020194
Jan 2020191
Dec 2019195
Nov 2019171
Oct 2019186
Sept 2019196
Aug 2019183
Jul 2019185
Jun 2019192
May 2019223
Apr 2019215
Mar 2019170
Feb 2019180
Jan 2019201
Dec 2018222
Nov 2018227
Oct 2018241
Sept 2018243
Aug 2018294
Jul 2018294
Jun 2018291
May 2018269
Apr 2018264
Mar 2018269
Feb 2018250
Jan 2018243
Dec 2017260
Nov 2017330
Oct 2017294
Sept 2017269
Aug 2017231
Jul 2017225
Jun 2017222
May 2017225
Apr 2017220
Mar 2017191
Feb 2017175
Jan 2017194

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3388-73-retail-kg.