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Beans (niebe) in Po

CENTRE-SUD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 18% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

302–528

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

309–591

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

6%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 18% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 5% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 302 and 528 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 309 and 591 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Po: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 18% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 5% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 302 and 528 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 309 and 591 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 427–525 478 384–612 643 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 372–552 473 295–621 572 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 302–528 404 253–594 450 6%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 302–563 411 222–657 482 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 309–591 430 211–592 508 –
Price history (140 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026490
Aug 2026483
Jul 2026480
Jun 2026465
May 2026460
Apr 2026453
Mar 2026456
Feb 2026446
Jan 2026429
Dec 2025419
Nov 2025378
Oct 2025498
Sept 2025678
Aug 2025573
Jul 2025753
Jun 2025736
May 2025712
Apr 2025716
Mar 2025706
Feb 2025699
Jan 2025624
Dec 2024556
Nov 2024438
Oct 2024703
Sept 2024766
Aug 2024648
Jul 2024582
Jun 2024554
May 2024491
Apr 2024532
Mar 2024491
Feb 2024424
Jan 2024362
Dec 2023352
Nov 2023337
Oct 2023386
Sept 2023424
Aug 2023402
Jul 2023410
Jun 2023394
May 2023341
Apr 2023417
Mar 2023403
Feb 2023396
Jan 2023396
Dec 2022390
Nov 2022348
Oct 2022470
Sept 2022592
Aug 2022637
Jul 2022628
Jun 2022606
May 2022601
Apr 2022584
Mar 2022597
Feb 2022543
Jan 2022519
Dec 2021516
Nov 2021474
Oct 2021600
Sept 2021661
Aug 2021579
Jul 2021502
Jun 2021493
May 2021504
Apr 2021489
Mar 2021455
Feb 2021447
Jan 2021400
Dec 2020377
Nov 2020307
Oct 2020428
Sept 2020435
Aug 2020461
Jul 2020391
Jun 2020426
May 2020404
Apr 2020349
Mar 2020337
Feb 2020331
Jan 2020332
Dec 2019314
Nov 2019288
Oct 2019292
Sept 2019321
Aug 2019282
Jul 2019298
Jun 2019343
May 2019324
Apr 2019323
Mar 2019330
Feb 2019332
Jan 2019300
Dec 2018296
Nov 2018293
Oct 2018361
Sept 2018432
Aug 2018444
Jul 2018428
Jun 2018415
May 2018412
Apr 2018391
Mar 2018406
Feb 2018398
Jan 2018356
Dec 2017295
Nov 2017350
Oct 2017406
Sept 2017421
Aug 2017412
Jul 2017414
Jun 2017421
May 2017421
Apr 2017441
Mar 2017421
Feb 2017417
Jan 2017307
Dec 2016300
Nov 2016310
Oct 2016407
Sept 2016417
Aug 2016417
Jul 2016417
Jun 2016386
May 2016386
Apr 2016388
Mar 2016379
Feb 2016379
Jan 2016322
Dec 2015303
Nov 2015290
Oct 2015360
Sept 2015379
Aug 2015377
Jul 2015375
Jun 2015375
May 2015373
Apr 2015364
Mar 2015332
Feb 2015334

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3390-120-retail-kg.