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Sorghum (white) in Po

CENTRE-SUD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 16% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

212–335

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

197–360

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 16% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 7% over the 3 months before. For sorghum, across 59 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 212 and 335 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 197 and 360 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Sorghum (white), Po: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 16% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 7% over the 3 months before. For sorghum, across 59 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 212 and 335 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 197 and 360 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 543); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 243–310 283 230–333 358 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 226–321 281 193–370 363 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 212–335 276 157–421 340 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 197–342 264 147–481 309 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 197–360 271 135–543 330 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026288
Aug 2026288
Jul 2026289
Jun 2026280
May 2026269
Apr 2026269
Mar 2026275
Feb 2026271
Jan 2026244
Dec 2025226
Nov 2025234
Oct 2025266
Sept 2025320
Aug 2025339
Jul 2025370
Jun 2025342
May 2025345
Apr 2025342
Mar 2025342
Feb 2025341
Jan 2025352
Dec 2024325
Nov 2024370
Oct 2024375
Sept 2024325
Aug 2024281
Jul 2024282
Jun 2024275
May 2024275
Apr 2024277
Mar 2024268
Feb 2024262
Jan 2024257
Dec 2023274
Nov 2023278
Oct 2023279
Sept 2023285
Aug 2023283
Jul 2023287
Jun 2023283
May 2023264
Apr 2023281
Mar 2023271
Feb 2023276
Jan 2023276
Dec 2022284
Nov 2022353
Oct 2022378
Sept 2022376
Aug 2022377
Jul 2022359
Jun 2022309
May 2022286
Apr 2022267
Mar 2022238
Feb 2022234
Jan 2022228
Dec 2021216
Nov 2021233
Oct 2021233
Sept 2021227
Aug 2021231
Jul 2021222
Jun 2021205
May 2021213
Apr 2021194
Mar 2021191
Feb 2021185
Jan 2021185
Dec 2020185
Nov 2020173
Oct 2020193
Sept 2020199
Aug 2020196
Jul 2020192
Jun 2020193
May 2020171
Apr 2020158
Mar 2020135
Feb 2020130
Jan 2020192
Dec 2019133
Nov 2019139
Oct 2019177
Sept 2019142
Aug 2019145
Jul 2019135
Jun 2019193
May 2019183
Apr 2019149
Mar 2019191
Feb 2019214
Jan 2019187
Dec 2018175
Nov 2018212
Oct 2018225
Sept 2018233
Aug 2018232
Jul 2018233
Jun 2018236
May 2018222
Apr 2018199
Mar 2018185
Feb 2018183
Jan 2018182
Dec 2017188
Nov 2017235
Oct 2017226
Sept 2017197
Aug 2017188
Jul 2017189
Jun 2017172
May 2017169
Apr 2017153
Mar 2017153
Feb 2017153
Jan 2017153
Dec 2016135
Nov 2016147
Oct 2016160
Sept 2016177
Aug 2016184
Jul 2016161
Jun 2016149
May 2016154
Apr 2016147
Mar 2016147
Feb 2016147
Jan 2016129
Dec 2015129
Nov 2015175
Oct 2015182
Sept 2015184
Aug 2015183
Jul 2015170
Jun 2015152
May 2015143
Apr 2015141
Mar 2015147
Feb 2015145
Jan 2015136

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3390-135-retail-kg.