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Maize (white) in Po

CENTRE-SUD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 31% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

125–192

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

110–198

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 31% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 10% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 125 and 192 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 110 and 198 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Po: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 31% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 10% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 125 and 192 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 110 and 198 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 153–189 169 142–196 272 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 144–194 169 136–199 255 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 125–192 165 80.2–220 232 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 111–193 158 59.6–243 217 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 110–198 161 58.3–247 225 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026179
Aug 2026170
Jul 2026167
Jun 2026166
May 2026154
Apr 2026148
Mar 2026177
Feb 2026171
Jan 2026146
Dec 2025144
Nov 2025185
Oct 2025203
Sept 2025226
Aug 2025224
Jul 2025256
Jun 2025252
May 2025251
Apr 2025243
Mar 2025237
Feb 2025230
Jan 2025207
Dec 2024188
Nov 2024229
Oct 2024264
Sept 2024286
Aug 2024279
Jul 2024245
Jun 2024220
May 2024219
Apr 2024214
Mar 2024216
Feb 2024213
Jan 2024205
Dec 2023214
Nov 2023238
Oct 2023258
Sept 2023263
Aug 2023260
Jul 2023246
Jun 2023230
May 2023238
Apr 2023250
Mar 2023251
Feb 2023254
Jan 2023241
Dec 2022227
Nov 2022221
Oct 2022256
Sept 2022275
Aug 2022261
Jul 2022269
Jun 2022281
May 2022280
Apr 2022265
Mar 2022236
Feb 2022232
Jan 2022224
Dec 2021208
Nov 2021211
Oct 2021229
Sept 2021236
Aug 2021222
Jul 2021214
Jun 2021199
May 2021225
Apr 2021175
Mar 2021170
Feb 2021154
Jan 2021161
Dec 2020160
Nov 2020148
Oct 2020191
Sept 2020154
Aug 2020154
Jul 2020134
Jun 2020125
May 2020127
Apr 2020130
Mar 2020121
Feb 2020109
Jan 2020118
Dec 2019105
Nov 2019115
Oct 2019118
Sept 2019116
Aug 2019107
Jul 2019120
Jun 2019134
May 2019138
Apr 2019132
Mar 2019139
Feb 2019140
Jan 2019140
Dec 2018146
Nov 2018143
Oct 2018150
Sept 2018178
Aug 2018192
Jul 2018190
Jun 2018174
May 2018172
Apr 2018167
Mar 2018154
Feb 2018150
Jan 2018143
Dec 2017140
Nov 2017151
Oct 2017145
Sept 2017184
Aug 2017156
Jul 2017152
Jun 2017153
May 2017153
Apr 2017152
Mar 2017144
Feb 2017140
Jan 2017141
Dec 2016132
Nov 2016141
Oct 2016158
Sept 2016186
Aug 2016189
Jul 2016170
Jun 2016163
May 2016160
Apr 2016152
Mar 2016152
Feb 2016146
Jan 2016140
Dec 2015143
Nov 2015172
Oct 2015187
Sept 2015189
Aug 2015189
Jul 2015180
Jun 2015164
May 2015150
Apr 2015132
Mar 2015126
Feb 2015116
Jan 2015118

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3390-67-retail-kg.