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Millet in Po

CENTRE-SUD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 24% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

234–386

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

192–393

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 24% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 3% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 234 and 386 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 192 and 393 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Po: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 24% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 3% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 234 and 386 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 192 and 393 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 264–334 298 235–371 408 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 251–358 300 210–413 396 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 234–386 296 178–484 400 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 200–384 291 123–575 368 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 192–393 280 111–611 354 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026287
Aug 2026297
Jul 2026295
Jun 2026280
May 2026289
Apr 2026274
Mar 2026290
Feb 2026271
Jan 2026311
Dec 2025352
Nov 2025256
Oct 2025284
Sept 2025366
Aug 2025381
Jul 2025384
Jun 2025394
May 2025389
Apr 2025383
Mar 2025378
Feb 2025367
Jan 2025376
Dec 2024376
Nov 2024518
Oct 2024451
Sept 2024447
Aug 2024401
Jul 2024308
Jun 2024306
May 2024291
Apr 2024294
Mar 2024278
Feb 2024272
Jan 2024278
Dec 2023322
Nov 2023338
Oct 2023327
Sept 2023347
Aug 2023338
Jul 2023322
Jun 2023316
May 2023336
Apr 2023335
Mar 2023318
Feb 2023310
Jan 2023303
Dec 2022341
Nov 2022447
Oct 2022471
Sept 2022463
Aug 2022419
Jul 2022400
Jun 2022370
May 2022369
Apr 2022375
Mar 2022303
Feb 2022289
Jan 2022280
Dec 2021279
Nov 2021289
Oct 2021284
Sept 2021287
Aug 2021285
Jul 2021305
Jun 2021278
May 2021303
Apr 2021294
Mar 2021263
Feb 2021258
Jan 2021248
Dec 2020270
Nov 2020274
Oct 2020266
Sept 2020243
Aug 2020223
Jul 2020195
Jun 2020194
May 2020208
Apr 2020175
Mar 2020174
Feb 2020148
Jan 2020185
Dec 2019150
Nov 2019153
Oct 2019177
Sept 2019197
Aug 2019197
Jul 2019199
Jun 2019226
May 2019221
Apr 2019198
Mar 2019204
Feb 2019212
Jan 2019209
Dec 2018210
Nov 2018233
Oct 2018244
Sept 2018255
Aug 2018268
Jul 2018267
Jun 2018265
May 2018265
Apr 2018265
Mar 2018258
Feb 2018248
Jan 2018223
Dec 2017253
Nov 2017304
Oct 2017285
Sept 2017257
Aug 2017247
Jul 2017243
Jun 2017244
May 2017239
Apr 2017216
Mar 2017201
Feb 2017192
Jan 2017192
Dec 2016190
Nov 2016226
Oct 2016191
Sept 2016197
Aug 2016197
Jul 2016206
Jun 2016197
May 2016199
Apr 2016187
Mar 2016178
Feb 2016187
Jan 2016187
Dec 2015179
Nov 2015225
Oct 2015239
Sept 2015243
Aug 2015241
Jul 2015236
Jun 2015226
May 2015213
Apr 2015180
Mar 2015185
Feb 2015184
Jan 2015176

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3390-73-retail-kg.