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Beans (niebe) in Réo

CENTRE-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 17% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

246–414

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

261–475

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 17% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 6% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 246 and 414 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 261 and 475 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Réo: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 17% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 6% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 246 and 414 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 261 and 475 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 317–399 363 312–429 468 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 274–414 352 201–455 399 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 246–414 327 169–439 372 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 239–435 345 143–501 404 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 261–475 360 174–598 440 –
Price history (140 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026390
Aug 2026367
Jul 2026337
Jun 2026343
May 2026391
Apr 2026363
Mar 2026385
Feb 2026388
Jan 2026370
Dec 2025365
Nov 2025354
Oct 2025389
Sept 2025427
Aug 2025452
Jul 2025491
Jun 2025542
May 2025612
Apr 2025566
Mar 2025592
Feb 2025612
Jan 2025598
Dec 2024480
Nov 2024387
Oct 2024425
Sept 2024685
Aug 2024585
Jul 2024517
Jun 2024480
May 2024456
Apr 2024445
Mar 2024407
Feb 2024365
Jan 2024330
Dec 2023291
Nov 2023287
Oct 2023273
Sept 2023242
Aug 2023244
Jul 2023259
Jun 2023263
May 2023255
Apr 2023306
Mar 2023306
Feb 2023329
Jan 2023297
Dec 2022290
Nov 2022268
Oct 2022319
Sept 2022432
Aug 2022454
Jul 2022477
Jun 2022503
May 2022510
Apr 2022511
Mar 2022505
Feb 2022471
Jan 2022452
Dec 2021425
Nov 2021407
Oct 2021329
Sept 2021488
Aug 2021417
Jul 2021401
Jun 2021382
May 2021366
Apr 2021360
Mar 2021342
Feb 2021319
Jan 2021317
Dec 2020292
Nov 2020236
Oct 2020310
Sept 2020296
Aug 2020275
Jul 2020274
Jun 2020274
May 2020275
Apr 2020274
Mar 2020273
Feb 2020267
Jan 2020226
Dec 2019208
Nov 2019205
Oct 2019207
Sept 2019223
Aug 2019225
Jul 2019240
Jun 2019233
May 2019259
Apr 2019287
Mar 2019293
Feb 2019275
Jan 2019266
Dec 2018262
Nov 2018249
Oct 2018291
Sept 2018361
Aug 2018363
Jul 2018366
Jun 2018367
May 2018370
Apr 2018352
Mar 2018354
Feb 2018355
Jan 2018337
Dec 2017294
Nov 2017305
Oct 2017329
Sept 2017324
Aug 2017311
Jul 2017307
Jun 2017287
May 2017307
Apr 2017307
Mar 2017290
Feb 2017293
Jan 2017290
Dec 2016265
Nov 2016218
Oct 2016236
Sept 2016291
Aug 2016290
Jul 2016302
Jun 2016278
May 2016282
Apr 2016203
Mar 2016230
Feb 2016261
Jan 2016257
Dec 2015235
Nov 2015232
Oct 2015251
Sept 2015255
Aug 2015249
Jul 2015256
Jun 2015253
May 2015220
Apr 2015219
Mar 2015238
Feb 2015236

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3391-120-retail-kg.