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Sorghum (white) in Réo

CENTRE-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 30% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

161–224

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

149–234

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 30% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 2% over the 3 months before. For sorghum, across 59 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 161 and 224 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 149 and 234 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Sorghum (white), Réo: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 30% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 2% over the 3 months before. For sorghum, across 59 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 161 and 224 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 149 and 234 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 183–215 199 177–227 286 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 169–220 199 160–235 273 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 161–224 195 143–233 262 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 151–231 193 115–272 253 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 149–234 194 109–269 255 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026202
Aug 2026199
Jul 2026203
Jun 2026201
May 2026203
Apr 2026199
Mar 2026201
Feb 2026203
Jan 2026201
Dec 2025198
Nov 2025203
Oct 2025222
Sept 2025245
Aug 2025255
Jul 2025262
Jun 2025276
May 2025293
Apr 2025296
Mar 2025298
Feb 2025293
Jan 2025251
Dec 2024257
Nov 2024272
Oct 2024302
Sept 2024306
Aug 2024324
Jul 2024291
Jun 2024274
May 2024272
Apr 2024265
Mar 2024248
Feb 2024226
Jan 2024222
Dec 2023222
Nov 2023235
Oct 2023241
Sept 2023241
Aug 2023258
Jul 2023257
Jun 2023256
May 2023256
Apr 2023260
Mar 2023272
Feb 2023255
Jan 2023254
Dec 2022239
Nov 2022280
Oct 2022294
Sept 2022322
Aug 2022316
Jul 2022316
Jun 2022300
May 2022297
Apr 2022299
Mar 2022278
Feb 2022244
Jan 2022224
Dec 2021212
Nov 2021202
Oct 2021197
Sept 2021196
Aug 2021198
Jul 2021193
Jun 2021190
May 2021196
Apr 2021187
Mar 2021182
Feb 2021166
Jan 2021167
Dec 2020166
Nov 2020171
Oct 2020171
Sept 2020175
Aug 2020171
Jul 2020154
Jun 2020146
May 2020145
Apr 2020143
Mar 2020136
Feb 2020135
Jan 2020135
Dec 2019135
Nov 2019136
Oct 2019137
Sept 2019136
Aug 2019141
Jul 2019152
Jun 2019153
May 2019154
Apr 2019153
Mar 2019154
Feb 2019152
Jan 2019154
Dec 2018154
Nov 2018169
Oct 2018196
Sept 2018209
Aug 2018214
Jul 2018213
Jun 2018205
May 2018205
Apr 2018205
Mar 2018204
Feb 2018196
Jan 2018189
Dec 2017188
Nov 2017188
Oct 2017199
Sept 2017201
Aug 2017192
Jul 2017179
Jun 2017179
May 2017179
Apr 2017179
Mar 2017174
Feb 2017165
Jan 2017130
Dec 2016131
Nov 2016131
Oct 2016125
Sept 2016148
Aug 2016165
Jul 2016175
Jun 2016171
May 2016126
Apr 2016139
Mar 2016144
Feb 2016144
Jan 2016150
Dec 2015150
Nov 2015125
Oct 2015166
Sept 2015167
Aug 2015169
Jul 2015160
Jun 2015167
May 2015157
Apr 2015153
Mar 2015167
Feb 2015149
Jan 2015149

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3391-135-retail-kg.