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Maize (white) in Réo

CENTRE-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 29% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

150–207

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

137–218

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 29% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 5% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 150 and 207 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 137 and 218 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Réo: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 29% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 5% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 150 and 207 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 137 and 218 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 169–201 183 157–205 278 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 162–206 185 133–207 265 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 150–207 183 124–216 252 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 141–214 182 99.7–226 249 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 137–218 181 84.4–233 252 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026200
Aug 2026184
Jul 2026174
Jun 2026177
May 2026175
Apr 2026174
Mar 2026172
Feb 2026179
Jan 2026177
Dec 2025184
Nov 2025214
Oct 2025217
Sept 2025241
Aug 2025249
Jul 2025268
Jun 2025270
May 2025266
Apr 2025280
Mar 2025286
Feb 2025284
Jan 2025267
Dec 2024255
Nov 2024268
Oct 2024298
Sept 2024319
Aug 2024304
Jul 2024293
Jun 2024251
May 2024250
Apr 2024241
Mar 2024229
Feb 2024221
Jan 2024222
Dec 2023222
Nov 2023218
Oct 2023227
Sept 2023234
Aug 2023233
Jul 2023250
Jun 2023251
May 2023252
Apr 2023256
Mar 2023268
Feb 2023269
Jan 2023267
Dec 2022252
Nov 2022243
Oct 2022271
Sept 2022288
Aug 2022281
Jul 2022301
Jun 2022307
May 2022304
Apr 2022291
Mar 2022262
Feb 2022240
Jan 2022234
Dec 2021232
Nov 2021227
Oct 2021232
Sept 2021230
Aug 2021215
Jul 2021216
Jun 2021215
May 2021209
Apr 2021192
Mar 2021188
Feb 2021170
Jan 2021170
Dec 2020168
Nov 2020180
Oct 2020187
Sept 2020179
Aug 2020161
Jul 2020143
Jun 2020144
May 2020143
Apr 2020141
Mar 2020134
Feb 2020133
Jan 2020133
Dec 2019136
Nov 2019134
Oct 2019141
Sept 2019143
Aug 2019145
Jul 2019147
Jun 2019142
May 2019152
Apr 2019159
Mar 2019161
Feb 2019162
Jan 2019161
Dec 2018161
Nov 2018166
Oct 2018169
Sept 2018194
Aug 2018198
Jul 2018198
Jun 2018189
May 2018190
Apr 2018181
Mar 2018180
Feb 2018180
Jan 2018181
Dec 2017172
Nov 2017173
Oct 2017182
Sept 2017189
Aug 2017171
Jul 2017171
Jun 2017172
May 2017172
Apr 2017172
Mar 2017172
Feb 2017171
Jan 2017179
Dec 2016174
Nov 2016160
Oct 2016167
Sept 2016181
Aug 2016196
Jul 2016188
Jun 2016184
May 2016170
Apr 2016146
Mar 2016161
Feb 2016150
Jan 2016188
Dec 2015180
Nov 2015156
Oct 2015190
Sept 2015184
Aug 2015158
Jul 2015163
Jun 2015169
May 2015157
Apr 2015147
Mar 2015145
Feb 2015152
Jan 2015152

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3391-67-retail-kg.