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Millet in Réo

CENTRE-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 27% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

207–324

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

191–340

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 3% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 207 and 324 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 191 and 340 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Réo: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 3% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 207 and 324 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 191 and 340 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 249–299 270 223–328 377 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 225–314 269 192–358 364 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 207–324 268 163–390 351 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 194–331 262 144–465 334 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 191–340 261 128–496 335 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026269
Aug 2026267
Jul 2026257
Jun 2026236
May 2026259
Apr 2026259
Mar 2026255
Feb 2026260
Jan 2026261
Dec 2025259
Nov 2025266
Oct 2025286
Sept 2025316
Aug 2025327
Jul 2025353
Jun 2025353
May 2025357
Apr 2025369
Mar 2025368
Feb 2025352
Jan 2025343
Dec 2024294
Nov 2024400
Oct 2024437
Sept 2024438
Aug 2024426
Jul 2024362
Jun 2024318
May 2024317
Apr 2024315
Mar 2024314
Feb 2024303
Jan 2024301
Dec 2023302
Nov 2023297
Oct 2023314
Sept 2023315
Aug 2023301
Jul 2023319
Jun 2023320
May 2023317
Apr 2023321
Mar 2023330
Feb 2023325
Jan 2023306
Dec 2022330
Nov 2022380
Oct 2022392
Sept 2022411
Aug 2022397
Jul 2022386
Jun 2022365
May 2022356
Apr 2022353
Mar 2022313
Feb 2022282
Jan 2022266
Dec 2021265
Nov 2021254
Oct 2021233
Sept 2021234
Aug 2021234
Jul 2021233
Jun 2021230
May 2021227
Apr 2021227
Mar 2021212
Feb 2021211
Jan 2021210
Dec 2020202
Nov 2020218
Oct 2020219
Sept 2020232
Aug 2020221
Jul 2020212
Jun 2020194
May 2020179
Apr 2020176
Mar 2020176
Feb 2020175
Jan 2020162
Dec 2019170
Nov 2019164
Oct 2019173
Sept 2019173
Aug 2019175
Jul 2019175
Jun 2019174
May 2019175
Apr 2019176
Mar 2019176
Feb 2019176
Jan 2019175
Dec 2018173
Nov 2018211
Oct 2018237
Sept 2018255
Aug 2018266
Jul 2018262
Jun 2018248
May 2018248
Apr 2018230
Mar 2018230
Feb 2018229
Jan 2018226
Dec 2017243
Nov 2017264
Oct 2017264
Sept 2017263
Aug 2017246
Jul 2017219
Jun 2017218
May 2017218
Apr 2017209
Mar 2017202
Feb 2017195
Jan 2017194
Dec 2016193
Nov 2016150
Oct 2016154
Sept 2016163
Aug 2016180
Jul 2016196
Jun 2016184
May 2016225
Apr 2016175
Mar 2016163
Feb 2016181
Jan 2016184
Dec 2015177
Nov 2015158
Oct 2015188
Sept 2015194
Aug 2015207
Jul 2015209
Jun 2015197
May 2015181
Apr 2015177
Mar 2015175
Feb 2015175
Jan 2015175

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3391-73-retail-kg.