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Beans (niebe) in Sapouy

CENTRE-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 27% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

204–340

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

220–405

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 8% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 204 and 340 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 220 and 405 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Sapouy: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 8% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 204 and 340 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 220 and 405 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 266–329 301 249–353 425 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 216–334 273 191–384 336 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 204–340 265 181–416 324 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 203–363 274 142–449 351 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 220–405 301 179–435 393 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026309
Aug 2026301
Jul 2026268
Jun 2026299
May 2026327
Apr 2026334
Mar 2026361
Feb 2026337
Jan 2026322
Dec 2025303
Nov 2025328
Oct 2025337
Sept 2025421
Aug 2025460
Jul 2025471
Jun 2025509
May 2025499
Apr 2025492
Mar 2025532
Feb 2025532
Jan 2025555
Dec 2024399
Nov 2024317
Oct 2024416
Sept 2024642
Aug 2024562
Jul 2024467
Jun 2024446
May 2024445
Apr 2024378
Mar 2024357
Feb 2024333
Jan 2024311
Dec 2023273
Nov 2023249
Oct 2023238
Sept 2023262
Aug 2023238
Jul 2023239
Jun 2023237
May 2023253
Apr 2023255
Mar 2023270
Feb 2023294
Jan 2023290
Dec 2022270
Nov 2022256
Oct 2022338
Sept 2022410
Aug 2022493
Jul 2022497
Jun 2022499
May 2022495
Apr 2022483
Mar 2022490
Feb 2022513
Jan 2022483
Dec 2021468
Nov 2021441
Oct 2021387
Sept 2021521
Aug 2021465
Jul 2021402
Jun 2021393
May 2021373
Apr 2021369
Mar 2021359
Feb 2021471
Jan 2021354
Dec 2020280
Nov 2020248
Oct 2020278
Sept 2020333
Aug 2020320
Jul 2020301
Jun 2020324
May 2020305
Apr 2020320
Mar 2020318
Feb 2020328
Jan 2020285
Dec 2019271
Nov 2019231
Oct 2019209
Sept 2019222
Aug 2019229
Jul 2019229
Jun 2019258
May 2019281
Apr 2019284
Mar 2019293
Feb 2019289
Jan 2019276
Dec 2018256
Nov 2018254
Oct 2018278
Sept 2018362
Aug 2018390
Jul 2018369
Jun 2018445
May 2018364
Apr 2018356
Mar 2018338
Feb 2018345
Jan 2018328
Dec 2017313
Nov 2017289
Oct 2017257
Sept 2017318
Aug 2017336
Jul 2017335
Jun 2017337
May 2017335
Apr 2017336
Mar 2017336
Feb 2017336
Jan 2017287
Dec 2016261
Nov 2016246
Oct 2016236
Sept 2016354
Aug 2016327
Jul 2016335
Jun 2016334
May 2016321
Apr 2016314
Mar 2016318
Feb 2016312
Jan 2016281
Dec 2015235
Nov 2015206
Oct 2015214
Sept 2015331
Aug 2015304
Jul 2015280
Jun 2015286
May 2015285
Apr 2015291
Mar 2015280
Feb 2015267
Jan 2015258

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3392-120-retail-kg.