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Maize (white) in Sapouy

CENTRE-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 39% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

88.6–138

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

89.2–149

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 39% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 6% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 88.6 and 138 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 89.2 and 149 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Sapouy: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 39% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 6% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 88.6 and 138 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 89.2 and 149 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 118–138 127 108–139 219 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 101–138 123 75.3–142 190 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 88.6–138 113 61–156 174 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 89.1–142 120 55.5–162 183 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 89.2–149 122 57.5–192 191 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026142
Aug 2026126
Jul 2026124
Jun 2026118
May 2026119
Apr 2026126
Mar 2026128
Feb 2026127
Jan 2026128
Dec 2025132
Nov 2025132
Oct 2025153
Sept 2025172
Aug 2025181
Jul 2025209
Jun 2025214
May 2025212
Apr 2025221
Mar 2025229
Feb 2025223
Jan 2025210
Dec 2024202
Nov 2024184
Oct 2024200
Sept 2024270
Aug 2024249
Jul 2024239
Jun 2024201
May 2024193
Apr 2024184
Mar 2024180
Feb 2024179
Jan 2024181
Dec 2023179
Nov 2023165
Oct 2023185
Sept 2023199
Aug 2023199
Jul 2023195
Jun 2023188
May 2023193
Apr 2023196
Mar 2023200
Feb 2023212
Jan 2023206
Dec 2022202
Nov 2022177
Oct 2022218
Sept 2022255
Aug 2022274
Jul 2022283
Jun 2022288
May 2022281
Apr 2022262
Mar 2022229
Feb 2022203
Jan 2022189
Dec 2021180
Nov 2021172
Oct 2021169
Sept 2021187
Aug 2021181
Jul 2021177
Jun 2021181
May 2021180
Apr 2021151
Mar 2021152
Feb 2021185
Jan 2021144
Dec 2020130
Nov 2020124
Oct 2020144
Sept 2020141
Aug 2020133
Jul 2020124
Jun 2020118
May 2020112
Apr 2020107
Mar 2020101
Feb 2020101
Jan 2020107
Dec 2019103
Nov 2019102
Oct 2019110
Sept 2019109
Aug 2019113
Jul 2019113
Jun 2019108
May 2019115
Apr 2019111
Mar 2019111
Feb 2019109
Jan 2019114
Dec 2018108
Nov 2018103
Oct 2018136
Sept 2018155
Aug 2018164
Jul 2018164
Jun 2018159
May 2018157
Apr 2018150
Mar 2018150
Feb 2018151
Jan 2018153
Dec 2017140
Nov 2017134
Oct 2017113
Sept 2017167
Aug 2017158
Jul 2017150
Jun 2017150
May 2017150
Apr 2017145
Mar 2017130
Feb 2017123
Jan 2017125
Dec 2016121
Nov 2016116
Oct 2016121
Sept 2016140
Aug 2016142
Jul 2016162
Jun 2016157
May 2016149
Apr 2016138
Mar 2016132
Feb 2016126
Jan 2016122
Dec 2015114
Nov 2015121
Oct 2015136
Sept 2015147
Aug 2015149
Jul 2015151
Jun 2015144
May 2015135
Apr 2015116
Mar 2015118
Feb 2015114
Jan 2015132

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3392-67-retail-kg.