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Millet in Sapouy

CENTRE-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 25% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

163–253

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

133–253

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 25% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 12% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 163 and 253 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 133 and 253 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Sapouy: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 25% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 12% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 163 and 253 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 133 and 253 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 176–224 198 157–248 262 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 169–237 200 149–266 272 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 163–253 199 139–320 271 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 137–243 191 93.8–311 238 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 133–253 186 84.7–371 234 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026233
Aug 2026197
Jul 2026178
Jun 2026176
May 2026176
Apr 2026181
Mar 2026183
Feb 2026181
Jan 2026172
Dec 2025177
Nov 2025208
Oct 2025204
Sept 2025208
Aug 2025221
Jul 2025186
Jun 2025248
May 2025252
Apr 2025280
Mar 2025299
Feb 2025272
Jan 2025253
Dec 2024237
Nov 2024295
Oct 2024356
Sept 2024334
Aug 2024351
Jul 2024288
Jun 2024256
May 2024244
Apr 2024236
Mar 2024213
Feb 2024205
Jan 2024210
Dec 2023224
Nov 2023240
Oct 2023233
Sept 2023236
Aug 2023217
Jul 2023214
Jun 2023223
May 2023235
Apr 2023238
Mar 2023248
Feb 2023248
Jan 2023238
Dec 2022227
Nov 2022302
Oct 2022333
Sept 2022380
Aug 2022383
Jul 2022351
Jun 2022330
May 2022330
Apr 2022321
Mar 2022268
Feb 2022240
Jan 2022229
Dec 2021223
Nov 2021239
Oct 2021218
Sept 2021222
Aug 2021205
Jul 2021202
Jun 2021204
May 2021202
Apr 2021190
Mar 2021187
Feb 2021222
Jan 2021183
Dec 2020194
Nov 2020242
Oct 2020251
Sept 2020204
Aug 2020185
Jul 2020187
Jun 2020189
May 2020183
Apr 2020180
Mar 2020170
Feb 2020163
Jan 2020154
Dec 2019157
Nov 2019163
Oct 2019162
Sept 2019145
Aug 2019155
Jul 2019153
Jun 2019151
May 2019166
Apr 2019162
Mar 2019177
Feb 2019181
Jan 2019172
Dec 2018185
Nov 2018190
Oct 2018190
Sept 2018199
Aug 2018200
Jul 2018195
Jun 2018212
May 2018202
Apr 2018194
Mar 2018212
Feb 2018212
Jan 2018213
Dec 2017204
Nov 2017227
Oct 2017207
Sept 2017174
Aug 2017206
Jul 2017202
Jun 2017188
May 2017185
Apr 2017182
Mar 2017168
Feb 2017153
Jan 2017141
Dec 2016158
Nov 2016174
Oct 2016169
Sept 2016157
Aug 2016163
Jul 2016169
Jun 2016160
May 2016151
Apr 2016144
Mar 2016142
Feb 2016136
Jan 2016140
Dec 2015156
Nov 2015182
Oct 2015154
Sept 2015155
Aug 2015157
Jul 2015183
Jun 2015162
May 2015172
Apr 2015159
Mar 2015152
Feb 2015175
Jan 2015163

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3392-73-retail-kg.