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Beans (niebe) in Sebba

SAHEL, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 34% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

539–848

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

553–974

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 34% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 11% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 539 and 848 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 553 and 974 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Sebba: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 34% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 11% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 539 and 848 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 553 and 974 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).05001,0001,500202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 694–820 751 605–851 1,224 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 606–852 746 490–895 1,082 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 539–848 708 354–866 989 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 532–901 723 301–984 1,034 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 553–974 746 389–1,034 1,089 –
Price history (139 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026735
Aug 2026746
Jul 2026746
Jun 2026735
May 2026675
Apr 2026735
Mar 2026746
Feb 2026746
Jan 2026735
Dec 2025725
Nov 2025725
Sept 20251,103
Aug 20251,103
Jul 20251,103
Jun 20251,087
May 20251,087
Apr 20251,051
Mar 20251,000
Feb 20251,029
Jan 2025956
Dec 2024809
Nov 2024735
Oct 2024827
Sept 20241,048
Aug 20241,029
Jul 20241,029
Jun 20241,029
May 20241,029
Apr 20241,059
Mar 20241,029
Feb 20241,029
Jan 20241,029
Dec 20231,029
Nov 20231,066
Oct 20231,103
Sept 20231,103
Aug 20231,103
Jul 20231,103
Jun 20231,048
May 20231,103
Apr 20231,078
Mar 20231,029
Feb 20231,029
Jan 20231,029
Dec 2022882
Nov 2022882
Oct 2022882
Sept 2022882
Aug 2022834
Jul 2022822
Jun 2022685
May 2022685
Apr 2022685
Mar 2022505
Feb 2022548
Jan 2022548
Dec 2021548
Nov 2021466
Oct 2021479
Sept 2021479
Aug 2021479
Jul 2021479
Jun 2021479
May 2021411
Apr 2021411
Mar 2021377
Feb 2021368
Jan 2021342
Dec 2020342
Nov 2020342
Oct 2020411
Sept 2020411
Aug 2020411
Jul 2020411
Jun 2020411
May 2020411
Apr 2020402
Mar 2020377
Feb 2020377
Jan 2020342
Dec 2019342
Nov 2019342
Oct 2019342
Sept 2019411
Aug 2019394
Jul 2019404
Jun 2019385
May 2019377
Apr 2019397
Mar 2019377
Feb 2019377
Jan 2019365
Dec 2018342
Nov 2018274
Oct 2018356
Sept 2018479
Aug 2018479
Jul 2018445
Jun 2018450
May 2018445
Apr 2018445
Mar 2018445
Feb 2018411
Jan 2018384
Dec 2017342
Nov 2017342
Oct 2017325
Sept 2017411
Aug 2017411
Jul 2017411
Jun 2017411
May 2017394
Apr 2017411
Mar 2017411
Feb 2017411
Jan 2017342
Dec 2016342
Nov 2016342
Oct 2016360
Sept 2016411
Aug 2016411
Jul 2016411
Jun 2016368
May 2016397
Apr 2016377
Mar 2016368
Feb 2016349
Jan 2016342
Dec 2015342
Nov 2015308
Oct 2015368
Sept 2015437
Aug 2015411
Jul 2015411
Jun 2015411
May 2015411
Apr 2015411
Mar 2015342
Feb 2015365

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3393-120-retail-kg.