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Beans (niebe) in Seytenga

SAHEL, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 32% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

238–505

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

232–570

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

4%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 32% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 238 and 505 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 232 and 570 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Seytenga: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 32% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 238 and 505 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 232 and 570 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 365–510 451 282–556 619 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 252–486 368 142–601 464 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 238–505 371 114–639 478 4%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 213–524 360 89.6–690 469 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 232–570 387 112–632 501 –
Price history (139 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026441
Aug 2026441
Jul 2026441
Jun 2026435
May 2026441
Apr 2026441
Mar 2026441
Feb 2026441
Jan 2026441
Dec 2025298
Nov 2025420
Oct 2025435
Sept 2025515
Aug 2025529
Jul 2025574
Jun 2025673
May 2025754
Apr 2025725
Mar 2025615
Feb 2025655
Jan 2025575
Dec 2024665
Nov 2024641
Oct 2024663
Sept 2024680
Aug 2024651
Jul 2024729
Jun 2024746
May 2024703
Apr 2024662
Mar 2024625
Feb 2024588
Jan 2024456
Dec 2023469
Nov 2023478
Oct 2023353
Sept 2023515
Aug 2023809
Jul 2023735
Jun 2023735
May 2023699
Apr 2023588
Mar 2023572
Feb 2023598
Jan 2023507
Dec 2022407
Nov 2022363
Oct 2022427
Sept 2022588
Aug 2022765
Jul 2022790
Jun 2022779
May 2022735
Apr 2022735
Mar 2022735
Feb 2022625
Jan 2022565
Dec 2021526
Nov 2021519
Oct 2021463
Sept 2021469
Aug 2021455
Jul 2021382
Jun 2021366
May 2021380
Apr 2021355
Mar 2021392
Feb 2021358
Jan 2021313
Dec 2020330
Nov 2020326
Oct 2020294
Sept 2020419
Aug 2020441
Jul 2020432
Jun 2020441
May 2020441
Apr 2020404
Mar 2020331
Feb 2020368
Jan 2020368
Dec 2019368
Nov 2019382
Oct 2019423
Sept 2019515
Aug 2019532
Jul 2019533
Jun 2019515
May 2019515
Apr 2019466
Mar 2019441
Feb 2019392
Jan 2019368
Dec 2018368
Nov 2018368
Oct 2018368
Aug 2018613
Jul 2018591
Jun 2018466
May 2018448
Apr 2018448
Mar 2018442
Feb 2018448
Jan 2018368
Dec 2017368
Nov 2017362
Oct 2017327
Sept 2017535
Aug 2017595
Jul 2017588
Jun 2017588
May 2017551
Apr 2017515
Mar 2017496
Feb 2017462
Jan 2017373
Dec 2016299
Nov 2016297
Oct 2016296
Sept 2016568
Aug 2016647
Jul 2016647
Jun 2016614
May 2016603
Apr 2016603
Mar 2016603
Feb 2016603
Jan 2016539
Dec 2015360
Nov 2015360
Oct 2015388
Sept 2015589
Aug 2015593
Jul 2015637
Jun 2015637
May 2015637
Apr 2015488
Mar 2015469
Feb 2015455

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3394-120-retail-kg.