Staple Signals Français

Home › Burkina Faso

Sorghum (white) in Seytenga

SAHEL, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 32% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

173–289

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

172–316

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 32% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 7% over the 3 months before. For sorghum, across 59 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 173 and 289 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 172 and 316 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Sorghum (white), Seytenga: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 32% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 7% over the 3 months before. For sorghum, across 59 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 173 and 289 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 172 and 316 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 223–289 253 202–314 386 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 185–289 240 169–351 316 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 173–289 232 144–380 299 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 174–305 235 146–426 314 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 172–316 243 110–408 326 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026257
Aug 2026254
Jul 2026254
Jun 2026254
May 2026272
Apr 2026290
Mar 2026290
Feb 2026272
Jan 2026262
Dec 2025277
Nov 2025250
Oct 2025264
Sept 2025294
Aug 2025283
Jul 2025321
Jun 2025358
May 2025362
Apr 2025321
Mar 2025353
Feb 2025344
Jan 2025400
Dec 2024435
Nov 2024338
Oct 2024350
Sept 2024382
Aug 2024408
Jul 2024371
Jun 2024362
May 2024363
Apr 2024377
Mar 2024377
Feb 2024368
Jan 2024257
Dec 2023257
Nov 2023221
Oct 2023228
Sept 2023331
Aug 2023368
Jul 2023368
Jun 2023319
May 2023254
Apr 2023254
Mar 2023257
Feb 2023254
Jan 2023254
Dec 2022227
Nov 2022205
Oct 2022245
Sept 2022340
Aug 2022413
Jul 2022335
Jun 2022326
May 2022317
Apr 2022362
Mar 2022361
Feb 2022330
Jan 2022295
Dec 2021214
Nov 2021214
Oct 2021216
Sept 2021221
Aug 2021203
Jul 2021223
Jun 2021220
May 2021217
Apr 2021217
Mar 2021208
Feb 2021184
Jan 2021154
Dec 2020144
Nov 2020143
Oct 2020143
Sept 2020203
Aug 2020218
Jul 2020184
Jun 2020184
May 2020183
Apr 2020182
Mar 2020184
Feb 2020172
Jan 2020145
Dec 2019145
Nov 2019143
Oct 2019181
Sept 2019181
Aug 2019183
Jul 2019183
Jun 2019182
May 2019183
Apr 2019181
Mar 2019181
Feb 2019184
Jan 2019183
Dec 2018181
Nov 2018181
Oct 2018189
Sept 2018256
Aug 2018228
Jul 2018191
Jun 2018181
May 2018181
Apr 2018181
Mar 2018181
Feb 2018181
Jan 2018181
Dec 2017184
Nov 2017179
Oct 2017161
Sept 2017245
Aug 2017217
Jul 2017217
Jun 2017217
May 2017181
Apr 2017181
Mar 2017181
Feb 2017179
Jan 2017145
Dec 2016145
Nov 2016172
Oct 2016182
Sept 2016184
Aug 2016189
Jul 2016189
Jun 2016189
May 2016189
Apr 2016189
Mar 2016152
Feb 2016152
Jan 2016159
Dec 2015152
Nov 2015147
Oct 2015164
Sept 2015189
Aug 2015189
Jul 2015171
Jun 2015171
May 2015171
Apr 2015199
Mar 2015180
Feb 2015150
Jan 2015154

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3394-135-retail-kg.