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Millet in Seytenga

SAHEL, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 31% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

179–339

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

196–375

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

6%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 31% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 179 and 339 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 196 and 375 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Seytenga: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 31% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 179 and 339 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 196 and 375 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 261–333 291 242–374 423 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 209–334 272 173–460 341 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 179–339 257 139–493 312 6%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 195–365 274 143–518 351 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 196–375 274 139–540 354 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026290
Aug 2026286
Jul 2026290
Jun 2026286
May 2026290
Apr 2026335
Mar 2026348
Feb 2026304
Jan 2026293
Dec 2025321
Nov 2025286
Oct 2025296
Sept 2025357
Aug 2025341
Jul 2025367
Jun 2025439
May 2025370
Apr 2025357
Mar 2025439
Feb 2025380
Jan 2025414
Dec 2024464
Nov 2024339
Oct 2024358
Sept 2024436
Aug 2024439
Jul 2024402
Jun 2024393
May 2024393
Apr 2024375
Mar 2024362
Feb 2024399
Jan 2024290
Dec 2023290
Nov 2023272
Oct 2023290
Sept 2023380
Aug 2023399
Jul 2023399
Jun 2023434
May 2023317
Apr 2023290
Mar 2023286
Feb 2023286
Jan 2023286
Dec 2022271
Nov 2022259
Oct 2022357
Sept 2022380
Aug 2022471
Jul 2022376
Jun 2022361
May 2022366
Apr 2022393
Mar 2022393
Feb 2022365
Jan 2022335
Dec 2021282
Nov 2021229
Oct 2021220
Sept 2021254
Aug 2021250
Jul 2021247
Jun 2021269
May 2021254
Apr 2021254
Mar 2021243
Feb 2021217
Jan 2021190
Dec 2020178
Nov 2020176
Oct 2020179
Sept 2020231
Aug 2020251
Jul 2020217
Jun 2020217
May 2020214
Apr 2020215
Mar 2020217
Feb 2020208
Jan 2020181
Dec 2019181
Nov 2019170
Oct 2019215
Sept 2019217
Aug 2019215
Jul 2019217
Jun 2019215
May 2019217
Apr 2019217
Mar 2019217
Feb 2019217
Jan 2019217
Dec 2018199
Nov 2018179
Oct 2018215
Sept 2018289
Aug 2018286
Jul 2018287
Jun 2018289
May 2018286
Apr 2018286
Mar 2018272
Feb 2018214
Jan 2018214
Dec 2017217
Nov 2017214
Oct 2017205
Sept 2017314
Aug 2017289
Jul 2017268
Jun 2017286
May 2017232
Apr 2017214
Mar 2017214
Feb 2017211
Jan 2017179
Dec 2016190
Nov 2016152
Oct 2016161
Sept 2016217
Aug 2016217
Jul 2016217
Jun 2016217
May 2016217
Apr 2016217
Mar 2016192
Feb 2016181
Jan 2016181
Dec 2015181
Nov 2015142
Oct 2015157
Sept 2015226
Aug 2015226
Jul 2015267
Jun 2015266
May 2015273
Apr 2015214
Mar 2015190
Feb 2015180
Jan 2015183

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3394-73-retail-kg.