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Beans (niebe) in Solenzo

BOUCLE DU MOUHOUN, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 31% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

208–340

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

222–385

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 31% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 11% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 208 and 340 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 222 and 385 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Solenzo: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 31% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 11% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 208 and 340 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 222 and 385 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 258–323 286 222–352 396 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 205–322 260 183–357 326 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 208–340 275 142–370 357 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 205–355 284 135–408 385 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 222–385 290 195–423 402 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026283
Aug 2026283
Jul 2026270
Jun 2026281
May 2026317
Apr 2026326
Mar 2026324
Feb 2026317
Jan 2026301
Dec 2025332
Nov 2025339
Oct 2025317
Sept 2025384
Aug 2025471
Jul 2025507
Jun 2025525
May 2025550
Apr 2025535
Mar 2025541
Feb 2025536
Jan 2025489
Dec 2024453
Nov 2024428
Oct 2024417
Sept 2024568
Aug 2024537
Jul 2024468
Jun 2024451
May 2024454
Apr 2024413
Mar 2024393
Feb 2024336
Jan 2024323
Dec 2023331
Nov 2023339
Oct 2023263
Sept 2023276
Aug 2023241
Jul 2023248
Jun 2023263
May 2023308
Apr 2023262
Mar 2023267
Feb 2023233
Jan 2023316
Dec 2022318
Nov 2022323
Oct 2022280
Sept 2022360
Aug 2022479
Jul 2022499
Jun 2022490
May 2022479
Apr 2022477
Mar 2022450
Feb 2022434
Jan 2022430
Dec 2021424
Nov 2021374
Oct 2021354
Sept 2021379
Aug 2021385
Jul 2021324
Jun 2021308
May 2021278
Apr 2021297
Mar 2021291
Feb 2021282
Jan 2021290
Dec 2020260
Nov 2020226
Oct 2020202
Sept 2020262
Aug 2020295
Jul 2020291
Jun 2020293
May 2020282
Apr 2020303
Mar 2020306
Feb 2020292
Jan 2020279
Dec 2019241
Nov 2019202
Oct 2019210
Sept 2019266
Aug 2019272
Jul 2019272
Jun 2019272
May 2019284
Apr 2019303
Mar 2019298
Feb 2019328
Jan 2019319
Dec 2018297
Nov 2018260
Oct 2018238
Sept 2018316
Aug 2018379
Jul 2018359
Jun 2018333
May 2018319
Apr 2018323
Mar 2018321
Feb 2018353
Jan 2018324
Dec 2017297
Nov 2017265
Oct 2017243
Sept 2017291
Aug 2017292
Jul 2017285
Jun 2017316
May 2017326
Apr 2017330
Mar 2017328
Feb 2017319
Jan 2017298
Dec 2016279
Nov 2016264
Oct 2016235
Sept 2016260
Aug 2016263
Jul 2016269
Jun 2016300
May 2016313
Apr 2016311
Mar 2016313
Feb 2016301
Jan 2016285
Dec 2015286
Nov 2015218
Oct 2015221
Sept 2015354
Aug 2015267
Jul 2015273
Jun 2015283
May 2015283
Apr 2015278
Mar 2015268
Feb 2015275
Jan 2015277

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3395-120-retail-kg.