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Sorghum (white) in Solenzo

BOUCLE DU MOUHOUN, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 26% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

95.4–159

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

92.8–167

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 26% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 7% over the 3 months before. For sorghum, across 59 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 95.4 and 159 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 92.8 and 167 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Sorghum (white), Solenzo: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 26% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 7% over the 3 months before. For sorghum, across 59 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 95.4 and 159 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 92.8 and 167 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 121–153 139 117–161 200 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 105–156 136 100–166 178 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 95.4–159 129 79.9–172 165 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 89.6–163 130 62.8–188 168 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 92.8–167 131 68.2–198 172 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026148
Aug 2026141
Jul 2026132
Jun 2026131
May 2026132
Apr 2026130
Mar 2026131
Feb 2026135
Jan 2026132
Dec 2025127
Nov 2025122
Oct 2025111
Sept 2025142
Aug 2025160
Jul 2025179
Jun 2025182
May 2025191
Apr 2025205
Mar 2025219
Feb 2025204
Jan 2025186
Dec 2024173
Nov 2024199
Oct 2024238
Sept 2024238
Aug 2024231
Jul 2024225
Jun 2024210
May 2024207
Apr 2024196
Mar 2024197
Feb 2024162
Jan 2024157
Dec 2023155
Nov 2023161
Oct 2023160
Sept 2023169
Aug 2023159
Jul 2023159
Jun 2023159
May 2023179
Apr 2023179
Mar 2023183
Feb 2023182
Jan 2023164
Dec 2022163
Nov 2022165
Oct 2022232
Sept 2022259
Aug 2022266
Jul 2022246
Jun 2022237
May 2022225
Apr 2022245
Mar 2022219
Feb 2022186
Jan 2022168
Dec 2021172
Nov 2021154
Oct 2021150
Sept 2021150
Aug 2021133
Jul 2021138
Jun 2021135
May 2021136
Apr 2021136
Mar 2021125
Feb 2021115
Jan 2021103
Dec 202099
Nov 202096
Oct 2020102
Sept 2020125
Aug 2020122
Jul 2020109
Jun 2020102
May 2020103
Apr 202092
Mar 202091
Feb 202079
Jan 202076
Dec 201972
Nov 201977
Oct 201979
Sept 201978
Aug 201977
Jul 201980
Jun 201978
May 201992
Apr 201996
Mar 2019104
Feb 201999
Jan 201999
Dec 2018107
Nov 201891
Oct 2018111
Sept 2018164
Aug 2018165
Jul 2018164
Jun 2018154
May 2018157
Apr 2018151
Mar 2018156
Feb 2018150
Jan 2018138
Dec 2017126
Nov 2017124
Oct 2017120
Sept 2017136
Aug 2017134
Jul 2017129
Jun 2017135
May 2017134
Apr 2017134
Mar 2017124
Feb 2017117
Jan 2017107
Dec 2016102
Nov 201697
Oct 2016106
Sept 2016112
Aug 2016111
Jul 2016107
Jun 2016113
May 2016110
Apr 2016120
Mar 2016111
Feb 2016100
Jan 201696
Dec 201596
Nov 201594
Oct 2015100
Sept 2015123
Aug 2015122
Jul 2015126
Jun 2015137
May 2015130
Apr 2015117
Mar 2015111
Feb 2015107
Jan 2015117

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3395-135-retail-kg.