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Millet in Solenzo

BOUCLE DU MOUHOUN, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 24% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

145–238

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

122–235

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 24% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 11% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 145 and 238 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 122 and 235 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Solenzo: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 24% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 11% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 145 and 238 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 122 and 235 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 165–213 186 149–240 248 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 155–228 186 145–283 250 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 145–238 183 112–305 244 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 125–232 174 95.5–337 217 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 122–235 170 84.7–324 216 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026200
Aug 2026185
Jul 2026169
Jun 2026167
May 2026166
Apr 2026164
Mar 2026180
Feb 2026170
Jan 2026160
Dec 2025161
Nov 2025163
Oct 2025165
Sept 2025179
Aug 2025208
Jul 2025212
Jun 2025224
May 2025254
Apr 2025271
Mar 2025275
Feb 2025255
Jan 2025226
Dec 2024249
Nov 2024311
Oct 2024314
Sept 2024318
Aug 2024309
Jul 2024293
Jun 2024254
May 2024231
Apr 2024218
Mar 2024235
Feb 2024212
Jan 2024198
Dec 2023199
Nov 2023244
Oct 2023228
Sept 2023206
Aug 2023210
Jul 2023191
Jun 2023191
May 2023215
Apr 2023231
Mar 2023226
Feb 2023251
Jan 2023236
Dec 2022213
Nov 2022280
Oct 2022325
Sept 2022313
Aug 2022307
Jul 2022294
Jun 2022294
May 2022267
Apr 2022287
Mar 2022263
Feb 2022211
Jan 2022206
Dec 2021207
Nov 2021189
Oct 2021176
Sept 2021163
Aug 2021149
Jul 2021153
Jun 2021147
May 2021166
Apr 2021170
Mar 2021156
Feb 2021143
Jan 2021134
Dec 2020138
Nov 2020168
Oct 2020170
Sept 2020179
Aug 2020167
Jul 2020154
Jun 2020141
May 2020140
Apr 2020131
Mar 2020119
Feb 2020126
Jan 2020119
Dec 2019113
Nov 2019116
Oct 2019108
Sept 2019107
Aug 2019108
Jul 2019109
Jun 2019105
May 2019118
Apr 2019116
Mar 2019119
Feb 2019123
Jan 2019133
Dec 2018132
Nov 2018146
Oct 2018171
Sept 2018196
Aug 2018199
Jul 2018205
Jun 2018208
May 2018186
Apr 2018186
Mar 2018183
Feb 2018175
Jan 2018157
Dec 2017158
Nov 2017175
Oct 2017197
Sept 2017204
Aug 2017193
Jul 2017174
Jun 2017189
May 2017174
Apr 2017172
Mar 2017158
Feb 2017144
Jan 2017134
Dec 2016144
Nov 2016163
Oct 2016161
Sept 2016138
Aug 2016139
Jul 2016138
Jun 2016143
May 2016166
Apr 2016144
Mar 2016136
Feb 2016131
Jan 2016125
Dec 2015121
Nov 2015140
Oct 2015152
Sept 2015147
Aug 2015147
Jul 2015159
Jun 2015166
May 2015155
Apr 2015140
Mar 2015139
Feb 2015133
Jan 2015151

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3395-73-retail-kg.