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Beans (niebe) in Tita

CENTRE-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 31% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

210–354

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

226–420

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 31% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 13% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 210 and 354 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 226 and 420 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Tita: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 31% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 13% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 210 and 354 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 226 and 420 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 278–337 300 233–371 455 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 230–355 285 159–377 380 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 210–354 273 125–367 373 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 201–378 274 115–445 377 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 226–420 303 163–451 451 –
Price history (137 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026302
Aug 2026300
Jul 2026294
Jun 2026291
May 2026346
Apr 2026346
Mar 2026363
Feb 2026370
Jan 2026330
Dec 2025326
Nov 2025361
Oct 2025385
Sept 2025444
Aug 2025461
Jul 2025521
Jun 2025506
May 2025558
Apr 2025602
Mar 2025603
Feb 2025611
Jan 2025669
Dec 2024514
Nov 2024407
Oct 2024488
Sept 2024686
Aug 2024644
Jul 2024536
Jun 2024494
May 2024484
Apr 2024441
Mar 2024439
Feb 2024373
Jan 2024350
Dec 2023303
Nov 2023302
Oct 2023265
Sept 2023260
Aug 2023262
Jul 2023243
Jun 2023236
May 2023265
Apr 2023247
Mar 2023280
Feb 2023311
Jan 2023297
Dec 2022276
Nov 2022277
Oct 2022332
Sept 2022360
Aug 2022448
Jul 2022465
Jun 2022483
May 2022491
Apr 2022508
Mar 2022496
Feb 2022481
Jan 2022460
Dec 2021406
Nov 2021406
Oct 2021339
Sept 2021500
Aug 2021456
Jul 2021412
Jun 2021372
May 2021375
Apr 2021407
Mar 2021397
Feb 2021326
Jan 2021317
Dec 2020273
Nov 2020261
Oct 2020273
Sept 2020284
Aug 2020267
Jul 2020239
Jun 2020256
May 2020240
Apr 2020242
Mar 2020357
Dec 2019196
Nov 2019184
Oct 2019179
Sept 2019195
Aug 2019208
Jul 2019212
Jun 2019192
May 2019238
Apr 2019265
Mar 2019285
Feb 2019278
Jan 2019263
Dec 2018236
Nov 2018248
Oct 2018251
Sept 2018378
Aug 2018374
Jul 2018370
Jun 2018368
May 2018366
Apr 2018351
Mar 2018346
Feb 2018354
Jan 2018343
Dec 2017291
Nov 2017286
Oct 2017310
Sept 2017354
Aug 2017350
Jul 2017341
Jun 2017326
Apr 2017330
Mar 2017324
Feb 2017333
Jan 2017304
Nov 2016273
Oct 2016256
Sept 2016314
Aug 2016320
Jul 2016303
Jun 2016298
May 2016303
Apr 2016284
Mar 2016292
Feb 2016302
Jan 2016278
Dec 2015234
Nov 2015236
Oct 2015234
Sept 2015294
Aug 2015282
Jul 2015262
Jun 2015259
May 2015251
Apr 2015241
Mar 2015235
Feb 2015234
Jan 2015208

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3396-120-retail-kg.