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Sorghum (white) in Tita

CENTRE-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 34% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

120–176

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

124–187

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 34% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 8% over the 3 months before. For sorghum, across 59 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 120 and 176 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 124 and 187 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Sorghum (white), Tita: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 34% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 8% over the 3 months before. For sorghum, across 59 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 120 and 176 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 124 and 187 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 145–170 155 134–179 246 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 132–173 155 131–191 227 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 120–176 150 87.7–190 211 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 113–180 144 90–213 202 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 124–187 155 106–229 228 –
Price history (137 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026154
Aug 2026156
Jul 2026158
Jun 2026160
May 2026170
Apr 2026176
Mar 2026177
Feb 2026168
Jan 2026170
Dec 2025164
Nov 2025181
Oct 2025193
Sept 2025204
Aug 2025226
Jul 2025231
Jun 2025231
May 2025244
Apr 2025250
Mar 2025257
Feb 2025257
Jan 2025241
Dec 2024224
Nov 2024242
Oct 2024285
Sept 2024299
Aug 2024300
Jul 2024283
Jun 2024258
May 2024254
Apr 2024240
Mar 2024222
Feb 2024205
Jan 2024206
Dec 2023201
Nov 2023211
Oct 2023215
Sept 2023219
Aug 2023221
Jul 2023205
Jun 2023206
May 2023210
Apr 2023209
Mar 2023229
Feb 2023238
Jan 2023225
Dec 2022187
Nov 2022197
Oct 2022252
Sept 2022275
Aug 2022292
Jul 2022278
Jun 2022288
May 2022275
Apr 2022281
Mar 2022246
Feb 2022218
Jan 2022202
Dec 2021178
Nov 2021173
Oct 2021170
Sept 2021170
Aug 2021154
Jul 2021163
Jun 2021161
May 2021163
Apr 2021178
Mar 2021172
Feb 2021146
Jan 2021134
Dec 2020123
Nov 2020124
Oct 2020140
Sept 2020147
Aug 2020148
Jul 2020136
Jun 2020121
May 2020133
Apr 2020125
Mar 2020131
Dec 2019122
Nov 2019114
Oct 2019118
Sept 2019127
Aug 2019118
Jul 2019134
Jun 2019119
May 2019148
Apr 2019148
Mar 2019143
Feb 2019140
Jan 2019138
Dec 2018125
Nov 2018131
Oct 2018148
Sept 2018202
Aug 2018203
Jul 2018193
Jun 2018190
May 2018190
Apr 2018188
Mar 2018190
Feb 2018190
Jan 2018191
Dec 2017148
Nov 2017169
Oct 2017165
Sept 2017170
Aug 2017185
Jul 2017170
Jun 2017160
Apr 2017169
Mar 2017172
Feb 2017150
Jan 2017131
Nov 2016138
Oct 2016138
Sept 2016155
Aug 2016150
Jul 2016135
Jun 2016148
May 2016160
Apr 2016160
Mar 2016147
Feb 2016143
Jan 2016134
Dec 2015131
Nov 2015123
Oct 2015129
Sept 2015146
Aug 2015153
Jul 2015153
Jun 2015148
May 2015143
Apr 2015137
Mar 2015133
Feb 2015128
Jan 2015137

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3396-135-retail-kg.