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Maize (white) in Tita

CENTRE-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 34% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

132–185

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

126–198

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 34% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 3% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 132 and 185 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 126 and 198 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Tita: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 34% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 3% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 132 and 185 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 126 and 198 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 159–181 169 139–185 269 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 147–184 168 124–186 256 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 132–185 164 93–202 238 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 120–191 161 68.5–245 228 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 126–198 168 78.4–241 248 –
Price history (137 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026168
Aug 2026167
Jul 2026160
Jun 2026171
May 2026172
Apr 2026172
Mar 2026169
Feb 2026172
Jan 2026173
Dec 2025185
Nov 2025195
Oct 2025217
Sept 2025227
Aug 2025247
Jul 2025250
Jun 2025260
May 2025264
Apr 2025266
Mar 2025268
Feb 2025261
Jan 2025245
Dec 2024242
Nov 2024263
Oct 2024314
Sept 2024316
Aug 2024304
Jul 2024290
Jun 2024240
May 2024237
Apr 2024234
Mar 2024232
Feb 2024219
Jan 2024219
Dec 2023220
Nov 2023218
Oct 2023226
Sept 2023229
Aug 2023234
Jul 2023229
Jun 2023224
May 2023227
Apr 2023238
Mar 2023245
Feb 2023250
Jan 2023236
Dec 2022225
Nov 2022216
Oct 2022257
Sept 2022268
Aug 2022274
Jul 2022276
Jun 2022290
May 2022283
Apr 2022281
Mar 2022236
Feb 2022229
Jan 2022236
Dec 2021213
Nov 2021208
Oct 2021217
Sept 2021210
Aug 2021204
Jul 2021212
Jun 2021211
May 2021200
Apr 2021188
Mar 2021177
Feb 2021163
Jan 2021157
Dec 2020149
Nov 2020151
Oct 2020167
Sept 2020171
Aug 2020163
Jul 2020144
Jun 2020148
May 2020126
Apr 2020122
Mar 2020135
Dec 2019125
Nov 2019133
Oct 2019126
Sept 2019131
Aug 2019131
Jul 2019130
Jun 2019131
May 2019141
Apr 2019145
Mar 2019143
Feb 2019143
Jan 2019144
Dec 2018133
Nov 2018138
Oct 2018154
Sept 2018198
Aug 2018200
Jul 2018196
Jun 2018193
May 2018179
Apr 2018179
Mar 2018179
Feb 2018178
Jan 2018173
Dec 2017146
Nov 2017164
Oct 2017169
Sept 2017179
Aug 2017169
Jul 2017163
Jun 2017167
Apr 2017167
Mar 2017167
Feb 2017154
Jan 2017157
Nov 2016160
Oct 2016156
Sept 2016167
Aug 2016169
Jul 2016170
Jun 2016163
May 2016167
Apr 2016166
Mar 2016153
Feb 2016151
Jan 2016143
Dec 2015145
Nov 2015150
Oct 2015150
Sept 2015157
Aug 2015165
Jul 2015162
Jun 2015154
May 2015147
Apr 2015138
Mar 2015138
Feb 2015136
Jan 2015145

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3396-67-retail-kg.