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Millet in Tita

CENTRE-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 29% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

158–258

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

145–272

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 29% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 4% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 158 and 258 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 145 and 272 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Tita: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 29% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 4% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 158 and 258 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 145 and 272 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 191–238 211 175–274 301 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 175–253 211 145–304 291 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 158–258 207 125–349 276 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 140–258 192 105–360 245 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 145–272 203 91.1–377 274 –
Price history (138 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026206
Aug 2026210
Jul 2026193
Jun 2026193
May 2026201
Apr 2026202
Mar 2026211
Feb 2026208
Jan 2026210
Dec 2025206
Nov 2025214
Oct 2025206
Sept 2025225
Aug 2025254
Jul 2025261
Jun 2025280
May 2025288
Apr 2025296
Mar 2025338
Feb 2025313
Jan 2025280
Dec 2024270
Nov 2024328
Oct 2024366
Sept 2024371
Aug 2024368
Jul 2024346
Jun 2024281
May 2024272
Apr 2024277
Mar 2024269
Feb 2024231
Jan 2024233
Dec 2023227
Nov 2023256
Oct 2023256
Sept 2023263
Aug 2023255
Jul 2023248
Jun 2023228
May 2023249
Apr 2023254
Mar 2023259
Feb 2023265
Jan 2023270
Dec 2022247
Nov 2022293
Oct 2022357
Sept 2022367
Aug 2022411
Jul 2022342
Jun 2022336
May 2022334
Apr 2022331
Mar 2022276
Feb 2022237
Jan 2022239
Dec 2021223
Nov 2021226
Oct 2021206
Sept 2021203
Aug 2021203
Jul 2021197
Jun 2021192
May 2021203
Apr 2021214
Mar 2021202
Feb 2021186
Jan 2021185
Dec 2020166
Nov 2020203
Oct 2020211
Sept 2020208
Aug 2020213
Jul 2020181
Jun 2020178
May 2020175
Apr 2020158
Mar 2020153
Dec 2019137
Nov 2019129
Oct 2019125
Sept 2019139
Aug 2019123
Jul 2019126
Jun 2019124
May 2019141
Apr 2019146
Mar 2019139
Feb 2019139
Jan 2019150
Dec 2018144
Nov 2018149
Oct 2018199
Sept 2018216
Aug 2018223
Jul 2018224
Jun 2018226
May 2018216
Apr 2018218
Mar 2018219
Feb 2018209
Jan 2018224
Dec 2017162
Nov 2017225
Oct 2017229
Sept 2017236
Aug 2017238
Jul 2017217
Jun 2017212
May 2017205
Apr 2017202
Mar 2017205
Feb 2017175
Jan 2017159
Nov 2016172
Oct 2016182
Sept 2016179
Aug 2016165
Jul 2016156
Jun 2016160
May 2016168
Apr 2016170
Mar 2016153
Feb 2016151
Jan 2016146
Dec 2015141
Nov 2015143
Oct 2015158
Sept 2015169
Aug 2015169
Jul 2015178
Jun 2015181
May 2015174
Apr 2015159
Mar 2015155
Feb 2015146
Jan 2015155

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3396-73-retail-kg.