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Food basket in Tita

CENTRE-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe).

Not included: cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,325–3,678

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,205–3,902

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 3,060 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,325 and 3,678 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,205 and 3,902 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Tita: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 3,060 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,325 and 3,678 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,205 and 3,902 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,810–3,429 3,067 2,618–3,859
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,573–3,595 3,039 2,237–4,147
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,325–3,678 2,986 1,877–4,679
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,136–3,761 2,828 1,727–5,095
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,205–3,902 2,968 1,479–5,361
Cost history (137 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20263,016
Aug 20263,060
Jul 20262,845
Jun 20262,840
May 20263,035
Apr 20263,047
Mar 20263,185
Feb 20263,162
Jan 20263,114
Dec 20253,059
Nov 20253,218
Oct 20253,165
Sept 20253,499
Aug 20253,878
Jul 20254,070
Jun 20254,271
May 20254,460
Apr 20254,636
Mar 20255,141
Feb 20254,856
Jan 20254,564
Dec 20244,165
Nov 20244,669
Oct 20245,270
Sept 20245,687
Aug 20245,575
Jul 20245,117
Jun 20244,261
May 20244,135
Apr 20244,118
Mar 20244,018
Feb 20243,443
Jan 20243,426
Dec 20233,269
Nov 20233,616
Oct 20233,549
Sept 20233,624
Aug 20233,532
Jul 20233,413
Jun 20233,161
May 20233,465
Apr 20233,493
Mar 20233,612
Feb 20233,740
Jan 20233,775
Dec 20223,461
Nov 20224,015
Oct 20224,882
Sept 20225,052
Aug 20225,738
Jul 20224,941
Jun 20224,901
May 20224,892
Apr 20224,886
Mar 20224,205
Feb 20223,710
Jan 20223,696
Dec 20213,407
Nov 20213,443
Oct 20213,082
Sept 20213,336
Aug 20213,257
Jul 20213,106
Jun 20212,974
May 20213,111
Apr 20213,301
Mar 20213,139
Feb 20212,819
Jan 20212,791
Dec 20202,483
Nov 20202,906
Oct 20203,023
Sept 20203,007
Aug 20203,037
Jul 20202,602
Jun 20202,597
May 20202,532
Apr 20202,332
Mar 20202,479
Dec 20191,997
Nov 20191,879
Oct 20191,822
Sept 20192,019
Aug 20191,850
Jul 20191,894
Jun 20191,834
May 20192,120
Apr 20192,229
Mar 20192,181
Feb 20192,168
Jan 20192,273
Dec 20182,153
Nov 20182,234
Oct 20182,840
Sept 20183,272
Aug 20183,349
Jul 20183,354
Jun 20183,374
May 20183,251
Apr 20183,248
Mar 20183,251
Feb 20183,145
Jan 20183,305
Dec 20172,468
Nov 20173,215
Oct 20173,306
Sept 20173,469
Aug 20173,486
Jul 20173,218
Jun 20173,131
Apr 20173,018
Mar 20173,043
Feb 20172,699
Jan 20172,455
Nov 20162,555
Oct 20162,645
Sept 20162,713
Aug 20162,556
Jul 20162,417
Jun 20162,456
May 20162,561
Apr 20162,551
Mar 20162,362
Feb 20162,356
Jan 20162,252
Dec 20152,113
Nov 20152,141
Oct 20152,317
Sept 20152,557
Aug 20152,536
Jul 20152,608
Jun 20152,638
May 20152,540
Apr 20152,342
Mar 20152,283
Feb 20152,173
Jan 20152,234

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burkina Faso

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 83% 96% 4% 2,526
Estimate (this month) 81% 96% 7% 2,519
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,515
In 2 months 79% 94% 13% 2,512
In 3 months 78% 94% 17% 2,508