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Beans (niebe) in Titao

NORD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 32% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

199–346

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

213–396

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 32% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 18% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 199 and 346 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 213 and 396 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Titao: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 32% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 18% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 199 and 346 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 213 and 396 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 250–331 284 225–350 410 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 215–340 268 163–358 357 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 199–346 272 109–379 362 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 193–366 277 108–449 383 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 213–396 285 177–447 405 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026281
Aug 2026282
Jul 2026296
Jun 2026327
May 2026344
Apr 2026328
Mar 2026349
Feb 2026322
Jan 2026337
Dec 2025323
Nov 2025278
Oct 2025268
Sept 2025332
Aug 2025406
Jul 2025402
Jun 2025507
May 2025487
Apr 2025453
Mar 2025474
Feb 2025431
Jan 2025352
Dec 2024343
Nov 2024340
Oct 2024339
Sept 2024419
Aug 2024386
Jul 2024344
Jun 2024312
May 2024300
Apr 2024284
Mar 2024325
Feb 2024304
Jan 2024300
Dec 2023325
Nov 2023338
Oct 2023378
Sept 2023385
Aug 2023328
Jul 2023323
Jun 2023309
May 2023362
Apr 2023341
Mar 2023376
Feb 2023539
Jan 2023606
Dec 2022450
Nov 2022396
Oct 2022371
Sept 2022526
Aug 2022753
Jul 2022606
Jun 2022619
May 2022583
Apr 2022522
Mar 2022426
Feb 2022398
Jan 2022411
Dec 2021394
Nov 2021394
Oct 2021390
Sept 2021419
Aug 2021361
Jul 2021336
Jun 2021317
May 2021309
Apr 2021300
Mar 2021266
Feb 2021256
Jan 2021250
Dec 2020235
Nov 2020209
Oct 2020200
Sept 2020223
Aug 2020253
Jul 2020248
Jun 2020248
May 2020219
Apr 2020238
Mar 2020251
Feb 2020237
Jan 2020203
Dec 2019186
Nov 2019165
Oct 2019165
Sept 2019164
Aug 2019175
Jul 2019194
Jun 2019206
May 2019235
Apr 2019225
Mar 2019235
Feb 2019236
Jan 2019225
Dec 2018225
Nov 2018211
Oct 2018213
Sept 2018284
Aug 2018307
Jul 2018329
Jun 2018338
May 2018334
Apr 2018325
Mar 2018304
Feb 2018297
Jan 2018281
Dec 2017275
Nov 2017253
Oct 2017230
Sept 2017263
Aug 2017296
Jul 2017246
Jun 2017247
May 2017281
Apr 2017291
Mar 2017275
Feb 2017269
Jan 2017271
Dec 2016258
Nov 2016275
Oct 2016271
Sept 2016270
Aug 2016263
Jul 2016269
Jun 2016263
May 2016265
Apr 2016227
Mar 2016253
Feb 2016231
Jan 2016203
Dec 2015240
Nov 2015200
Oct 2015239
Sept 2015196
Aug 2015219
Jul 2015247
Jun 2015233
May 2015218
Apr 2015196
Mar 2015201
Feb 2015201
Jan 2015172

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3397-120-retail-kg.