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Rice (imported) in Titao

NORD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 9% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

533–672

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

525–720

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 9% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For rice, across 63 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 533 and 672 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 525 and 720 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Rice (imported), Titao: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 9% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For rice, across 63 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 533 and 672 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 525 and 720 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 967); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 572–642 601 546–667 687 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 534–662 602 533–699 666 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 533–672 596 510–740 668 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 525–686 597 518–782 653 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 525–720 595 466–967 680 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026600
Aug 2026600
Jul 2026600
Jun 2026600
May 2026600
Apr 2026600
Mar 2026600
Feb 2026600
Jan 2026600
Dec 2025600
Nov 2025600
Oct 2025600
Sept 2025600
Aug 2025600
Jul 2025600
Jun 2025600
May 2025600
Apr 2025600
Mar 2025600
Feb 2025600
Jan 2025581
Dec 2024600
Nov 2024610
Oct 2024642
Sept 2024675
Aug 2024580
Jul 2024588
Jun 2024563
May 2024590
Apr 2024588
Mar 2024560
Feb 2024525
Jan 2024550
Dec 2023570
Nov 2023563
Oct 2023500
Sept 2023675
Aug 2023588
Jul 2023500
Jun 2023500
May 2023500
Apr 2023500
Mar 2023660
Feb 2023688
Jan 2023667
Dec 2022675
Nov 2022650
Oct 2022650
Sept 2022600
Aug 2022725
Jul 2022635
Jun 2022510
May 2022516
Apr 2022590
Mar 2022510
Feb 2022523
Jan 2022505
Dec 2021361
Nov 2021361
Oct 2021355
Sept 2021350
Aug 2021353
Jul 2021350
Jun 2021358
May 2021350
Apr 2021365
Mar 2021358
Feb 2021314
Jan 2021350
Dec 2020349
Nov 2020347
Oct 2020361
Sept 2020368
Aug 2020333
Jul 2020362
Jun 2020363
May 2020362
Apr 2020374
Mar 2020329
Feb 2020380
Jan 2020358
Dec 2019380
Nov 2019366
Oct 2019363
Sept 2019365
Aug 2019368
Jul 2019366
Jun 2019370
May 2019374
Apr 2019377
Mar 2019373
Feb 2019378
Jan 2019325
Dec 2018270
Nov 2018358
Oct 2018363
Sept 2018378
Aug 2018378
Jul 2018380
Jun 2018388
May 2018380
Apr 2018284
Mar 2018381
Feb 2018374
Jan 2018378
Dec 2017370
Nov 2017375
Oct 2017379
Sept 2017378
Aug 2017380
Jul 2017315
Jun 2017378
May 2017375
Apr 2017366
Mar 2017359
Feb 2017355
Jan 2017350
Dec 2016350
Nov 2016350
Oct 2016350
Sept 2016350
Aug 2016350
Jul 2016350
Jun 2016350
May 2016350
Apr 2016350
Mar 2016350
Feb 2016350
Jan 2016350
Dec 2015350
Nov 2015350
Oct 2015292
Sept 2015350
Aug 2015354
Jul 2015350
Jun 2015353
May 2015355
Apr 2015350
Mar 2015350
Feb 2015350
Jan 2015367

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3397-64-retail-kg.