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Maize (white) in Titao

NORD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 40% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

168–250

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

168–272

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 40% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 168 and 250 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 168 and 272 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Titao: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 40% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 168 and 250 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 168 and 272 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 197–240 218 172–245 382 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 181–250 217 160–253 368 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 168–250 217 108–251 362 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 157–259 216 94.5–266 362 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 168–272 214 136–315 369 –
Price history (140 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026221
Aug 2026216
Jul 2026215
Jun 2026216
May 2026216
Apr 2026216
Mar 2026209
Feb 2026208
Jan 2026253
Dec 2025244
Nov 2025203
Oct 2025257
Sept 2025296
Aug 2025308
Jul 2025324
Jun 2025324
May 2025328
Apr 2025324
Mar 2025326
Feb 2025349
Jan 2025353
Dec 2024331
Nov 2024353
Oct 2024361
Sept 2024394
Aug 2024356
Jul 2024363
Jun 2024323
May 2024323
Apr 2024343
Mar 2024339
Feb 2024324
Jan 2024326
Dec 2023333
Nov 2023350
Oct 2023351
Sept 2023357
Aug 2023364
Jul 2023347
Jun 2023315
May 2023357
Apr 2023363
Mar 2023388
Feb 2023403
Jan 2023475
Dec 2022419
Nov 2022403
Oct 2022377
Sept 2022439
Aug 2022461
Jul 2022386
Jun 2022380
May 2022370
Apr 2022354
Mar 2022304
Feb 2022264
Jan 2022244
Dec 2021236
Nov 2021241
Oct 2021234
Sept 2021230
Aug 2021243
Jul 2021238
Jun 2021215
May 2021196
Apr 2021179
Mar 2021160
Feb 2021158
Jan 2021161
Dec 2020159
Nov 2020159
Oct 2020152
Sept 2020138
Aug 2020132
Jul 2020131
Jun 2020131
May 2020132
Apr 2020135
Mar 2020134
Feb 2020134
Jan 2020133
Dec 2019132
Nov 2019135
Oct 2019121
Sept 2019126
Aug 2019133
Jul 2019142
Jun 2019143
May 2019147
Apr 2019143
Mar 2019154
Feb 2019143
Jan 2019144
Dec 2018156
Nov 2018161
Oct 2018171
Sept 2018182
Aug 2018185
Jul 2018186
Jun 2018184
May 2018183
Apr 2018171
Mar 2018169
Feb 2018169
Jan 2018166
Dec 2017164
Nov 2017168
Oct 2017171
Sept 2017172
Aug 2017171
Jul 2017168
Jun 2017169
May 2017168
Apr 2017164
Mar 2017163
Feb 2017158
Jan 2017158
Dec 2016158
Nov 2016158
Oct 2016171
Sept 2016168
Aug 2016162
Jul 2016155
Jun 2016164
May 2016158
Apr 2016149
Mar 2016149
Feb 2016140
Jan 2016130
Dec 2015143
Nov 2015127
Oct 2015170
Sept 2015156
Aug 2015150
Jul 2015160
Jun 2015142
May 2015136
Apr 2015132
Mar 2015132
Feb 2015132

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3397-67-retail-kg.