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Millet in Titao

NORD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 36% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

217–385

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

202–426

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 36% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 23% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 217 and 385 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 202 and 426 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Titao: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 36% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 23% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 217 and 385 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 202 and 426 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 731); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 267–364 299 250–434 471 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 245–392 299 225–437 453 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 217–385 291 160–490 419 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 205–399 294 127–574 425 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 202–426 296 113–731 436 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026341
Aug 2026290
Jul 2026349
Jun 2026367
May 2026377
Apr 2026344
Mar 2026353
Feb 2026347
Jan 2026359
Dec 2025336
Nov 2025295
Oct 2025338
Sept 2025362
Aug 2025378
Jul 2025379
Jun 2025354
May 2025384
Apr 2025421
Mar 2025417
Feb 2025401
Jan 2025379
Dec 2024381
Nov 2024387
Oct 2024415
Sept 2024438
Aug 2024415
Jul 2024408
Jun 2024395
May 2024393
Apr 2024412
Mar 2024394
Feb 2024362
Jan 2024350
Dec 2023378
Nov 2023369
Oct 2023402
Sept 2023404
Aug 2023414
Jul 2023395
Jun 2023353
May 2023408
Apr 2023413
Mar 2023447
Feb 2023479
Jan 2023545
Dec 2022507
Nov 2022419
Oct 2022433
Sept 2022505
Aug 2022496
Jul 2022424
Jun 2022417
May 2022401
Apr 2022380
Mar 2022333
Feb 2022277
Jan 2022254
Dec 2021258
Nov 2021255
Oct 2021212
Sept 2021188
Aug 2021205
Jul 2021204
Jun 2021184
May 2021178
Apr 2021179
Mar 2021169
Feb 2021165
Jan 2021162
Dec 2020149
Nov 2020147
Oct 2020160
Sept 2020170
Aug 2020156
Jul 2020145
Jun 2020127
May 2020129
Apr 2020139
Mar 2020143
Feb 2020141
Jan 2020136
Dec 2019128
Nov 2019143
Oct 2019141
Sept 2019144
Aug 2019152
Jul 2019159
Jun 2019179
May 2019179
Apr 2019174
Mar 2019169
Feb 2019165
Jan 2019157
Dec 2018165
Nov 2018169
Oct 2018185
Sept 2018226
Aug 2018240
Jul 2018251
Jun 2018255
May 2018261
Apr 2018251
Mar 2018250
Feb 2018198
Jan 2018163
Dec 2017145
Nov 2017163
Oct 2017200
Sept 2017212
Aug 2017233
Jul 2017199
Jun 2017200
May 2017189
Apr 2017183
Mar 2017178
Feb 2017174
Jan 2017161
Dec 2016159
Nov 2016152
Oct 2016199
Sept 2016180
Aug 2016166
Jul 2016159
Jun 2016176
May 2016174
Apr 2016166
Mar 2016166
Feb 2016157
Jan 2016130
Dec 2015127
Nov 2015135
Oct 2015166
Sept 2015169
Aug 2015170
Jul 2015177
Jun 2015181
May 2015172
Apr 2015164
Mar 2015164
Feb 2015152
Jan 2015148

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3397-73-retail-kg.