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Food basket in Titao

NORD, Burkina Faso · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe).

Not included: cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

3,037–5,170

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,782–5,890

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 3,988 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 3,037 and 5,170 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,782 and 5,890 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Titao: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 3,988 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 3,037 and 5,170 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,782 and 5,890 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,0008,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 9,138); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 3,687–4,957 4,143 3,475–5,819
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 3,400–5,225 4,081 3,095–5,930
Nov 2026
Next month		 3,037–5,170 3,998 2,300–6,427
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,815–5,374 4,029 1,705–7,496
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,782–5,890 4,055 1,701–9,138
Cost history (141 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20264,598
Aug 20263,988
Jul 20264,721
Jun 20264,993
May 20265,143
Apr 20264,718
Mar 20264,864
Feb 20264,744
Jan 20264,915
Dec 20254,613
Nov 20254,040
Oct 20254,538
Sept 20254,942
Aug 20255,267
Jul 20255,272
Jun 20255,161
May 20255,485
Apr 20255,867
Mar 20255,857
Feb 20255,588
Jan 20255,182
Dec 20245,189
Nov 20245,256
Oct 20245,590
Sept 20246,010
Aug 20245,675
Jul 20245,515
Jun 20245,302
May 20245,256
Apr 20245,455
Mar 20245,313
Feb 20244,891
Jan 20244,740
Dec 20235,121
Nov 20235,036
Oct 20235,504
Sept 20235,541
Aug 20235,558
Jul 20235,321
Jun 20234,792
May 20235,548
Apr 20235,570
Mar 20236,041
Feb 20236,718
Jan 20237,631
Dec 20226,894
Nov 20225,741
Oct 20225,864
Sept 20227,007
Aug 20227,307
Jul 20226,179
Jun 20226,118
May 20225,861
Apr 20225,500
Mar 20224,763
Feb 20224,040
Jan 20223,788
Dec 20213,805
Nov 20213,769
Oct 20213,246
Sept 20213,010
Aug 20213,110
Jul 20213,053
Jun 20212,779
May 20212,692
Apr 20212,688
Mar 20212,507
Feb 20212,441
Jan 20212,394
Dec 20202,211
Nov 20202,140
Oct 20202,280
Sept 20202,441
Aug 20202,327
Jul 20202,186
Jun 20201,970
May 20201,942
Apr 20202,096
Mar 20202,168
Feb 20202,119
Jan 20201,997
Dec 20191,871
Nov 20192,013
Oct 20191,989
Sept 20192,023
Aug 20192,139
Jul 20192,257
Jun 20192,519
May 20192,571
Apr 20192,493
Mar 20192,451
Feb 20192,405
Jan 20192,289
Dec 20182,385
Nov 20182,408
Oct 20182,603
Sept 20183,223
Aug 20183,433
Jul 20183,604
Jun 20183,668
May 20183,733
Apr 20183,597
Mar 20183,547
Feb 20182,911
Jan 20182,462
Dec 20172,235
Nov 20172,411
Oct 20172,814
Sept 20173,017
Aug 20173,329
Jul 20172,831
Jun 20172,845
May 20172,774
Apr 20172,720
Mar 20172,631
Feb 20172,572
Jan 20172,420
Dec 20162,372
Nov 20162,319
Oct 20162,876
Sept 20162,646
Aug 20162,465
Jul 20162,392
Jun 20162,585
May 20162,565
Apr 20162,401
Mar 20162,447
Feb 20162,300
Jan 20161,925
Dec 20151,956
Nov 20151,980
Oct 20152,422
Sept 20152,381
Aug 20152,434
Jul 20152,569
Jun 20152,591
May 20152,456
Apr 20152,321
Mar 20152,330
Feb 20152,186
Jan 20152,086

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burkina Faso

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 83% 96% 4% 2,526
Estimate (this month) 81% 96% 7% 2,519
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,515
In 2 months 79% 94% 13% 2,512
In 3 months 78% 94% 17% 2,508