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Beans (niebe) in Yako

NORD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 25% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

269–427

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

262–482

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 25% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 6% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 269 and 427 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 262 and 482 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Yako: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 25% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 6% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 269 and 427 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 262 and 482 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 335–395 363 312–429 507 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 287–421 360 230–429 445 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 269–427 349 208–476 430 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 253–443 354 166–500 448 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 262–482 365 175–487 480 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026364
Aug 2026363
Jul 2026365
Jun 2026389
May 2026388
Apr 2026410
Mar 2026399
Feb 2026396
Jan 2026396
Dec 2025399
Nov 2025386
Oct 2025401
Sept 2025428
Aug 2025452
Jul 2025497
Jun 2025512
May 2025579
Apr 2025593
Mar 2025599
Feb 2025614
Jan 2025611
Dec 2024448
Nov 2024442
Oct 2024518
Sept 2024742
Aug 2024675
Jul 2024584
Jun 2024539
May 2024510
Apr 2024472
Mar 2024430
Feb 2024404
Jan 2024364
Dec 2023345
Nov 2023345
Oct 2023339
Sept 2023299
Aug 2023272
Jul 2023265
Jun 2023279
May 2023295
Apr 2023298
Mar 2023318
Feb 2023331
Jan 2023337
Dec 2022334
Nov 2022345
Oct 2022383
Sept 2022502
Aug 2022534
Jul 2022487
Jun 2022516
May 2022510
Apr 2022502
Mar 2022504
Feb 2022484
Jan 2022448
Dec 2021454
Nov 2021437
Oct 2021394
Sept 2021497
Aug 2021510
Jul 2021421
Jun 2021408
May 2021403
Apr 2021379
Mar 2021375
Feb 2021358
Jan 2021329
Dec 2020293
Nov 2020271
Oct 2020268
Sept 2020267
Aug 2020251
Jul 2020253
Jun 2020271
May 2020253
Apr 2020256
Mar 2020273
Feb 2020250
Jan 2020258
Dec 2019229
Nov 2019200
Oct 2019198
Sept 2019198
Aug 2019218
Jul 2019198
Jun 2019207
May 2019235
Apr 2019288
Mar 2019283
Feb 2019290
Jan 2019265
Dec 2018280
Nov 2018267
Oct 2018283
Sept 2018357
Aug 2018356
Jul 2018373
Jun 2018365
May 2018371
Apr 2018366
Mar 2018352
Feb 2018333
Jan 2018325
Dec 2017280
Nov 2017275
Oct 2017300
Sept 2017342
Aug 2017342
Jul 2017325
Jun 2017317
May 2017325
Apr 2017323
Mar 2017313
Feb 2017292
Jan 2017288
Dec 2016285
Nov 2016263
Oct 2016278
Sept 2016317
Aug 2016306
Jul 2016310
Jun 2016312
May 2016317
Apr 2016300
Mar 2016296
Feb 2016288
Jan 2016270
Dec 2015260
Nov 2015262
Oct 2015263
Sept 2015283
Aug 2015272
Jul 2015250
Jun 2015247
May 2015253
Apr 2015231
Mar 2015229
Feb 2015228
Jan 2015232

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3399-120-retail-kg.