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Sorghum (white) in Yako

NORD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 39% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

143–213

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

137–227

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 39% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 17% over the 3 months before. For sorghum, across 59 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 143 and 213 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 137 and 227 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Sorghum (white), Yako: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 39% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 17% over the 3 months before. For sorghum, across 59 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 143 and 213 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 137 and 227 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 163–212 182 153–230 291 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 152–216 181 152–217 280 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 143–213 178 131–226 264 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 134–220 173 111–240 248 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 137–227 177 112–307 258 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026211
Aug 2026175
Jul 2026211
Jun 2026211
May 2026212
Apr 2026212
Mar 2026211
Feb 2026211
Jan 2026208
Dec 2025207
Nov 2025214
Oct 2025239
Sept 2025250
Aug 2025264
Jul 2025283
Jun 2025278
May 2025283
Apr 2025290
Mar 2025300
Feb 2025282
Jan 2025253
Dec 2024246
Nov 2024288
Oct 2024306
Sept 2024328
Aug 2024346
Jul 2024323
Jun 2024293
May 2024283
Apr 2024286
Mar 2024251
Feb 2024246
Jan 2024246
Dec 2023246
Nov 2023253
Oct 2023256
Sept 2023250
Aug 2023249
Jul 2023246
Jun 2023246
May 2023245
Apr 2023245
Mar 2023252
Feb 2023266
Jan 2023261
Dec 2022231
Nov 2022263
Oct 2022304
Sept 2022350
Aug 2022355
Jul 2022330
Jun 2022313
May 2022299
Apr 2022310
Mar 2022310
Feb 2022247
Jan 2022227
Dec 2021205
Nov 2021208
Oct 2021204
Sept 2021196
Aug 2021230
Jul 2021203
Jun 2021179
May 2021220
Apr 2021241
Mar 2021220
Feb 2021183
Jan 2021159
Dec 2020159
Nov 2020157
Oct 2020163
Sept 2020177
Aug 2020173
Jul 2020157
Jun 2020174
May 2020159
Apr 2020159
Mar 2020178
Feb 2020157
Jan 2020139
Dec 2019139
Nov 2019140
Oct 2019141
Sept 2019146
Aug 2019162
Jul 2019141
Jun 2019148
May 2019159
Apr 2019183
Mar 2019178
Feb 2019183
Jan 2019156
Dec 2018143
Nov 2018172
Oct 2018214
Sept 2018231
Aug 2018205
Jul 2018219
Jun 2018218
May 2018220
Apr 2018203
Mar 2018210
Feb 2018190
Jan 2018186
Dec 2017177
Nov 2017186
Oct 2017194
Sept 2017194
Aug 2017198
Jul 2017198
Jun 2017184
May 2017194
Apr 2017180
Mar 2017177
Feb 2017161
Jan 2017163
Dec 2016161
Nov 2016168
Oct 2016161
Sept 2016159
Aug 2016168
Jul 2016159
Jun 2016161
May 2016161
Apr 2016159
Mar 2016159
Feb 2016157
Jan 2016160
Dec 2015150
Nov 2015159
Oct 2015166
Sept 2015159
Aug 2015159
Jul 2015157
Jun 2015159
May 2015159
Apr 2015149
Mar 2015148
Feb 2015141
Jan 2015155

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3399-135-retail-kg.