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Maize (white) in Yako

NORD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 28% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

180–233

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

165–243

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 28% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 180 and 233 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 165 and 243 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Yako: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 28% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 180 and 233 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 165 and 243 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 194–224 208 184–234 301 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 189–230 209 178–234 296 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 180–233 207 156–237 280 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 169–238 206 147–274 273 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 165–243 206 126–281 275 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026212
Aug 2026207
Jul 2026194
Jun 2026194
May 2026207
Apr 2026212
Mar 2026212
Feb 2026211
Jan 2026211
Dec 2025223
Nov 2025226
Oct 2025240
Sept 2025255
Aug 2025265
Jul 2025283
Jun 2025283
May 2025283
Apr 2025283
Mar 2025283
Feb 2025283
Jan 2025271
Dec 2024264
Nov 2024284
Oct 2024308
Sept 2024309
Aug 2024300
Jul 2024304
Jun 2024265
May 2024265
Apr 2024257
Mar 2024246
Feb 2024246
Jan 2024246
Dec 2023246
Nov 2023246
Oct 2023264
Sept 2023265
Aug 2023264
Jul 2023265
Jun 2023264
May 2023264
Apr 2023265
Mar 2023265
Feb 2023265
Jan 2023264
Dec 2022264
Nov 2022262
Oct 2022277
Sept 2022296
Aug 2022300
Jul 2022302
Jun 2022297
May 2022298
Apr 2022298
Mar 2022272
Feb 2022247
Jan 2022247
Dec 2021235
Nov 2021217
Oct 2021226
Sept 2021233
Aug 2021240
Jul 2021234
Jun 2021216
May 2021216
Apr 2021199
Mar 2021194
Feb 2021194
Jan 2021181
Dec 2020177
Nov 2020177
Oct 2020191
Sept 2020194
Aug 2020177
Jul 2020163
Jun 2020159
May 2020159
Apr 2020159
Mar 2020159
Feb 2020159
Jan 2020159
Dec 2019155
Nov 2019159
Oct 2019159
Sept 2019159
Aug 2019159
Jul 2019159
Jun 2019159
May 2019159
Apr 2019159
Mar 2019159
Feb 2019159
Jan 2019159
Dec 2018159
Nov 2018177
Oct 2018194
Sept 2018194
Aug 2018194
Jul 2018194
Jun 2018194
May 2018194
Apr 2018194
Mar 2018177
Feb 2018177
Jan 2018177
Dec 2017177
Nov 2017179
Oct 2017191
Sept 2017194
Aug 2017177
Jul 2017177
Jun 2017177
May 2017177
Apr 2017166
Mar 2017159
Feb 2017159
Jan 2017159
Dec 2016159
Nov 2016177
Oct 2016177
Sept 2016173
Aug 2016177
Jul 2016177
Jun 2016177
May 2016177
Apr 2016168
Mar 2016159
Feb 2016159
Jan 2016159
Dec 2015168
Nov 2015166
Oct 2015171
Sept 2015177
Aug 2015172
Jul 2015179
Jun 2015179
May 2015148
Apr 2015141
Mar 2015143
Feb 2015141
Jan 2015161

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3399-67-retail-kg.