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Millet in Yako

NORD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 26% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

237–343

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

198–344

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 26% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 4% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 237 and 343 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 198 and 344 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Yako: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 26% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 4% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 237 and 343 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 198 and 344 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 255–307 274 244–335 371 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 244–322 277 221–368 378 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 237–343 277 216–384 377 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 206–335 271 159–396 346 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 198–344 268 132–453 343 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026316
Aug 2026271
Jul 2026260
Jun 2026262
May 2026260
Apr 2026262
Mar 2026263
Feb 2026260
Jan 2026262
Dec 2025279
Nov 2025288
Oct 2025315
Sept 2025314
Aug 2025311
Jul 2025322
Jun 2025332
May 2025350
Apr 2025350
Mar 2025366
Feb 2025344
Jan 2025324
Dec 2024351
Nov 2024433
Oct 2024456
Sept 2024469
Aug 2024478
Jul 2024421
Jun 2024314
May 2024314
Apr 2024321
Mar 2024322
Feb 2024314
Jan 2024314
Dec 2023309
Nov 2023318
Oct 2023341
Sept 2023306
Aug 2023301
Jul 2023300
Jun 2023302
May 2023307
Apr 2023311
Mar 2023338
Feb 2023342
Jan 2023349
Dec 2022348
Nov 2022422
Oct 2022431
Sept 2022432
Aug 2022431
Jul 2022403
Jun 2022382
May 2022385
Apr 2022385
Mar 2022348
Feb 2022294
Jan 2022291
Dec 2021270
Nov 2021281
Oct 2021249
Sept 2021235
Aug 2021266
Jul 2021242
Jun 2021239
May 2021253
Apr 2021272
Mar 2021264
Feb 2021260
Jan 2021247
Dec 2020251
Nov 2020270
Oct 2020261
Sept 2020261
Aug 2020259
Jul 2020221
Jun 2020228
May 2020191
Apr 2020181
Mar 2020195
Feb 2020174
Jan 2020185
Dec 2019174
Nov 2019181
Oct 2019174
Sept 2019174
Aug 2019189
Jul 2019175
Jun 2019174
May 2019174
Apr 2019203
Mar 2019206
Feb 2019192
Jan 2019200
Dec 2018206
Nov 2018219
Oct 2018238
Sept 2018264
Aug 2018238
Jul 2018257
Jun 2018255
May 2018253
Apr 2018244
Mar 2018251
Feb 2018244
Jan 2018252
Dec 2017254
Nov 2017300
Oct 2017300
Sept 2017275
Aug 2017275
Jul 2017271
Jun 2017247
May 2017239
Apr 2017230
Mar 2017221
Feb 2017208
Jan 2017227
Dec 2016237
Nov 2016243
Oct 2016221
Sept 2016209
Aug 2016187
Jul 2016199
Jun 2016200
May 2016210
Apr 2016208
Mar 2016192
Feb 2016194
Jan 2016191
Dec 2015194
Nov 2015203
Oct 2015207
Sept 2015209
Aug 2015198
Jul 2015194
Jun 2015209
May 2015196
Apr 2015188
Mar 2015175
Feb 2015174
Jan 2015188

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3399-73-retail-kg.