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Food basket in Yako

NORD, Burkina Faso · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe).

Not included: cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

3,369–4,926

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,934–4,947

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 3,905 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 3,369 and 4,926 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,934 and 4,947 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Yako: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 3,905 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 3,369 and 4,926 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,934 and 4,947 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,0008,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 3,660–4,330 3,921 3,443–4,693
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 3,528–4,647 4,022 3,380–6,089
Nov 2026
Next month		 3,369–4,926 3,842 3,186–5,702
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,917–4,742 3,670 2,651–5,737
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,934–4,947 3,766 2,451–7,110
Cost history (125 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20264,447
Aug 20263,905
Jul 20263,777
Jun 20263,844
May 20263,818
Apr 20263,882
Mar 20263,874
Feb 20263,833
Jan 20263,857
Dec 20254,066
Aug 20254,546
Jul 20254,759
Jun 20254,906
May 20255,242
Apr 20255,267
Mar 20255,470
Feb 20255,233
Jan 20254,988
Nov 20245,992
Oct 20246,404
Sept 20246,964
Aug 20246,951
Jul 20246,103
Jun 20244,738
May 20244,686
Apr 20244,702
Mar 20244,638
Feb 20244,495
Jan 20244,423
Dec 20234,329
Nov 20234,437
Oct 20234,702
Sept 20234,210
Aug 20234,102
Jul 20234,077
Jun 20234,126
May 20234,215
Apr 20234,268
Mar 20234,628
Feb 20234,700
Jan 20234,795
Oct 20225,861
Sept 20226,088
Aug 20226,133
Jul 20225,713
Jun 20225,513
May 20225,538
Apr 20225,524
Mar 20225,083
Feb 20224,399
Jan 20224,298
Dec 20214,057
Nov 20214,159
Sept 20213,715
Aug 20214,110
Jul 20213,662
Jun 20213,602
May 20213,761
Apr 20213,946
Mar 20213,843
Feb 20213,764
Jan 20213,556
Dec 20203,539
Nov 20203,728
Sept 20203,613
Aug 20203,560
Jul 20203,107
Jun 20203,224
May 20202,747
Apr 20202,633
Mar 20202,831
Feb 20202,538
Jan 20202,684
Dec 20192,500
Sept 20192,444
Aug 20192,660
Jul 20192,456
Jun 20192,461
May 20192,511
Apr 20192,954
Mar 20192,981
Feb 20192,826
Jan 20192,877
Dec 20182,976
Sept 20183,811
Aug 20183,497
Jul 20183,755
Jun 20183,717
May 20183,704
Apr 20183,587
Mar 20183,646
Feb 20183,527
Jan 20183,609
Nov 20174,095
Sept 20173,916
Aug 20173,916
Jul 20173,837
Jun 20173,535
May 20173,453
Apr 20173,341
Mar 20173,215
Feb 20173,022
Jan 20173,242
Nov 20163,389
Sept 20163,079
Aug 20162,795
Jul 20162,946
Jun 20162,962
May 20163,091
Apr 20163,036
Mar 20162,837
Feb 20162,846
Jan 20162,778
Dec 20152,796
Nov 20152,908
Oct 20152,957
Sept 20153,017
Aug 20152,866
Jul 20152,778
Jun 20152,953
May 20152,807
Apr 20152,672
Mar 20152,512
Feb 20152,498
Jan 20152,674

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burkina Faso

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 83% 96% 4% 2,526
Estimate (this month) 81% 96% 7% 2,519
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,515
In 2 months 79% 94% 13% 2,512
In 3 months 78% 94% 17% 2,508