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Beans (niebe) in Yalgo

CENTRE-NORD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 2% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

311–709

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

330–826

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

18%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 2% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 6% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 311 and 709 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 330 and 826 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 18%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Yalgo: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 2% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 6% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 311 and 709 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 330 and 826 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 18%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02505007501,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 505–712 615 422–819 711 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 416–741 608 265–834 614 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 311–709 473 246–842 513 18%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 294–736 469 199–905 522 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 330–826 537 179–870 584 –
Price history (76 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026581
Aug 2026625
Jul 2026588
Jun 2026588
May 2026588
Apr 2026500
Mar 2026411
Feb 2026350
Jan 2026333
Dec 2025357
Nov 2025348
Oct 2025419
Sept 2025769
Aug 2025645
Jul 2025628
Jun 2025626
May 2025673
Apr 2025673
Mar 2025633
Feb 2025586
Jan 2025576
Dec 2024490
Nov 2024490
Oct 2024804
Sept 2024809
Aug 2024584
Jul 2024548
Jun 2024492
May 2024488
Apr 2024476
Mar 2024468
Feb 2024448
Jan 2024677
Dec 2023409
Nov 2023402
Oct 2023418
Sept 2023403
Aug 2023391
Jul 2023381
Jun 2023381
May 2023416
Apr 2023380
Mar 2023431
Feb 2023395
Jan 2023389
Dec 2022383
Nov 2022384
Oct 2022483
Sept 2022586
Aug 2022599
Jul 2022595
Jun 2022573
May 2022573
Apr 2022509
Mar 2022573
Feb 2022560
Jan 2022521
Dec 2021521
Nov 2021495
Oct 2021526
Sept 2021487
Aug 2021421
Jul 2021400
Jun 2021373
May 2021373
Apr 2021375
Mar 2021336
Feb 2021295
Jan 2021251
Dec 2020236
Nov 2020231
Oct 2020249
Sept 2020300
Aug 2020300
Jul 2020300
Jun 2020300

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3400-120-retail-kg.