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Millet in Yalgo

CENTRE-NORD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 16% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

282–453

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

252–468

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 16% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 6% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 282 and 453 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 252 and 468 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Yalgo: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 16% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 6% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 282 and 453 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 252 and 468 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 324–412 372 289–423 467 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 304–434 374 246–449 465 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 282–453 366 186–462 450 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 253–448 351 199–558 412 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 252–468 352 189–649 416 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026422
Aug 2026375
Jul 2026353
Jun 2026353
May 2026353
Apr 2026340
Mar 2026316
Feb 2026300
Jan 2026300
Dec 2025286
Nov 2025422
Oct 2025438
Sept 2025475
Aug 2025441
Jul 2025514
Jun 2025547
May 2025514
Apr 2025487
Mar 2025465
Feb 2025470
Jan 2025444
Dec 2024410
Nov 2024415
Oct 2024462
Sept 2024476
Aug 2024435
Jul 2024431
Jun 2024381
May 2024379
Apr 2024369
Mar 2024369
Feb 2024369
Jan 2024369
Dec 2023369
Nov 2023369
Oct 2023360
Sept 2023346
Aug 2023334
Jul 2023334
Jun 2023334
May 2023334
Apr 2023349
Mar 2023358
Feb 2023354
Jan 2023353
Dec 2022404
Nov 2022420
Oct 2022417
Sept 2022444
Aug 2022444
Jul 2022418
Jun 2022409
May 2022392
Apr 2022392
Mar 2022339
Feb 2022313
Jan 2022313
Dec 2021314
Nov 2021287
Oct 2021260
Sept 2021259
Aug 2021256
Jul 2021250
Jun 2021250
May 2021252
Apr 2021257
Mar 2021236
Feb 2021224
Jan 2021201
Dec 2020192
Nov 2020225
Oct 2020249
Sept 2020249
Aug 2020236
Jul 2020224
Jun 2020224
May 2020224
Apr 2020209
Mar 2020198
Feb 2020192
Jan 2020176
Dec 2019166
Nov 2019187
Oct 2019187
Sept 2019196
Aug 2019210
Jul 2019205
Jun 2019228
May 2019225
Apr 2019225
Mar 2019225
Feb 2019225
Jan 2019225
Dec 2018225
Nov 2018231
Oct 2018263
Sept 2018278
Aug 2018275
Jul 2018244
Jun 2018275
May 2018275
Apr 2018250
Mar 2018275
Feb 2018274
Jan 2018249
Dec 2017235
Nov 2017256
Oct 2017275
Sept 2017272
Aug 2017263
Jul 2017239
Jun 2017239
May 2017215
Apr 2017215
Mar 2017215
Feb 2017213
Jan 2017211
Dec 2016221
Nov 2016255
Oct 2016258
Sept 2016217
Aug 2016217
Jul 2016217
Jun 2016217
May 2016217
Apr 2016217
Mar 2016209
Feb 2016204
Jan 2016213
Dec 2015230
Nov 2015225
Oct 2015255
Sept 2015255
Aug 2015255
Jul 2015247
Jun 2015244
May 2015238
Apr 2015217
Mar 2015217
Feb 2015209
Jan 2015186

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3400-73-retail-kg.