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Beans (niebe) in Zabré

CENTRE-EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 22% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

323–568

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

354–672

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

6%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 22% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 6% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 323 and 568 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 354 and 672 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Zabré: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 22% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 6% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 323 and 568 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 354 and 672 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02004006008001,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 452–555 509 404–600 685 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 350–552 448 275–613 514 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 323–568 429 237–686 498 6%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 336–600 448 243–722 534 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 354–672 495 236–727 607 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026494
Aug 2026513
Jul 2026478
Jun 2026476
May 2026485
Apr 2026494
Mar 2026505
Feb 2026514
Jan 2026479
Dec 2025433
Nov 2025395
Oct 2025517
Sept 2025668
Aug 2025734
Jul 2025591
Jun 2025744
May 2025743
Apr 2025731
Mar 2025775
Feb 2025773
Jan 2025773
Dec 2024592
Nov 2024512
Oct 2024546
Sept 2024865
Aug 2024859
Jul 2024694
Jun 2024635
May 2024635
Apr 2024544
Mar 2024503
Feb 2024437
Jan 2024460
Dec 2023382
Nov 2023348
Oct 2023355
Sept 2023389
Aug 2023417
Jul 2023401
Jun 2023385
May 2023397
Apr 2023397
Mar 2023401
Feb 2023403
Jan 2023398
Dec 2022384
Nov 2022370
Oct 2022340
Sept 2022635
Aug 2022657
Jul 2022649
Jun 2022641
May 2022641
Apr 2022641
Mar 2022644
Feb 2022635
Jan 2022567
Dec 2021561
Nov 2021508
Oct 2021457
Sept 2021641
Aug 2021569
Jul 2021548
Jun 2021543
May 2021515
Apr 2021452
Mar 2021475
Feb 2021405
Jan 2021377
Dec 2020359
Nov 2020354
Oct 2020356
Sept 2020368
Aug 2020356
Jul 2020368
Jun 2020366
May 2020373
Apr 2020367
Mar 2020364
Feb 2020378
Jan 2020366
Dec 2019300
Nov 2019289
Oct 2019273
Sept 2019327
Aug 2019335
Jul 2019329
Jun 2019338
May 2019331
Apr 2019337
Mar 2019356
Feb 2019352
Jan 2019361
Dec 2018303
Nov 2018289
Oct 2018305
Sept 2018433
Aug 2018447
Jul 2018442
Jun 2018423
May 2018416
Apr 2018423
Mar 2018423
Feb 2018427
Jan 2018395
Dec 2017351
Nov 2017319
Oct 2017363
Sept 2017438
Aug 2017385
Jul 2017354
Jun 2017347
May 2017358
Apr 2017363
Mar 2017362
Feb 2017355
Jan 2017332
Dec 2016285
Nov 2016275
Oct 2016282
Sept 2016401
Aug 2016373
Jul 2016407
Jun 2016399
May 2016366
Apr 2016399
Mar 2016396
Feb 2016387
Jan 2016372
Dec 2015319
Nov 2015320
Oct 2015302
Sept 2015380
Aug 2015382
Jul 2015356
Jun 2015346
May 2015328
Apr 2015319
Mar 2015342
Feb 2015320
Jan 2015290

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3401-120-retail-kg.