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Sorghum (white) in Zabré

CENTRE-EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 21% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

211–286

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

199–300

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 21% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For sorghum, across 59 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 211 and 286 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 199 and 300 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Sorghum (white), Zabré: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 21% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For sorghum, across 59 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 211 and 286 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 199 and 300 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 231–272 253 219–285 339 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 219–280 252 212–300 341 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 211–286 249 191–315 345 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 200–288 249 173–309 311 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 199–300 250 160–346 318 –
Price history (140 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026259
Aug 2026256
Jul 2026255
Jun 2026258
May 2026254
Apr 2026253
Mar 2026262
Feb 2026274
Jan 2026265
Dec 2025294
Nov 2025271
Oct 2025279
Sept 2025248
Aug 2025285
Jul 2025298
Jun 2025291
May 2025287
Apr 2025303
Mar 2025290
Feb 2025305
Jan 2025298
Dec 2024268
Nov 2024316
Oct 2024317
Sept 2024310
Aug 2024310
Jul 2024304
Jun 2024311
May 2024289
Apr 2024252
Mar 2024255
Feb 2024248
Jan 2024246
Dec 2023247
Nov 2023269
Oct 2023276
Sept 2023272
Aug 2023262
Jul 2023276
Jun 2023276
May 2023269
Apr 2023272
Mar 2023287
Feb 2023288
Jan 2023295
Dec 2022273
Nov 2022364
Oct 2022345
Sept 2022341
Aug 2022357
Jul 2022344
Jun 2022323
May 2022309
Apr 2022308
Mar 2022278
Feb 2022278
Jan 2022270
Dec 2021251
Nov 2021248
Oct 2021235
Sept 2021208
Aug 2021203
Jul 2021198
Jun 2021181
May 2021194
Apr 2021191
Mar 2021178
Feb 2021178
Jan 2021168
Dec 2020189
Nov 2020208
Oct 2020199
Sept 2020185
Aug 2020180
Jul 2020162
Jun 2020151
May 2020147
Apr 2020144
Mar 2020144
Feb 2020132
Jan 2020134
Dec 2019144
Nov 2019140
Oct 2019134
Sept 2019147
Aug 2019153
Jul 2019151
Jun 2019155
May 2019157
Apr 2019160
Mar 2019161
Feb 2019160
Jan 2019155
Dec 2018155
Nov 2018184
Oct 2018187
Sept 2018198
Aug 2018194
Jul 2018204
Jun 2018186
May 2018182
Apr 2018184
Mar 2018174
Feb 2018175
Jan 2018173
Dec 2017147
Nov 2017171
Oct 2017168
Sept 2017185
Aug 2017170
Jul 2017168
Jun 2017170
May 2017164
Apr 2017161
Mar 2017155
Feb 2017155
Jan 2017155
Dec 2016144
Nov 2016176
Oct 2016180
Sept 2016186
Aug 2016190
Jul 2016184
Jun 2016187
May 2016172
Apr 2016181
Mar 2016174
Feb 2016166
Jan 2016155
Nov 2015152
Oct 2015161
Sept 2015166
Aug 2015166
Jul 2015171
Jun 2015163
May 2015139
Apr 2015133
Mar 2015138
Feb 2015135
Jan 2015148

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3401-135-retail-kg.