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Maize (white) in Zabré

CENTRE-EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 31% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

100–153

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

97.5–171

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 31% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 5% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 100 and 153 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 97.5 and 171 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Zabré: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 31% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 5% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 100 and 153 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 97.5 and 171 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 126–153 138 117–165 217 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 115–155 136 89.4–170 197 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 100–153 132 68.5–168 183 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 95–160 135 52.5–197 189 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 97.5–171 136 56–239 196 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026140
Aug 2026138
Jul 2026130
Jun 2026126
May 2026131
Apr 2026134
Mar 2026146
Feb 2026154
Jan 2026135
Dec 2025135
Nov 2025125
Oct 2025141
Sept 2025156
Aug 2025158
Jul 2025201
Jun 2025223
May 2025222
Apr 2025227
Mar 2025230
Feb 2025221
Jan 2025206
Dec 2024199
Nov 2024202
Oct 2024246
Sept 2024274
Aug 2024235
Jul 2024232
Jun 2024202
May 2024200
Apr 2024200
Mar 2024196
Feb 2024185
Jan 2024188
Dec 2023194
Nov 2023172
Oct 2023198
Sept 2023229
Aug 2023235
Jul 2023266
Jun 2023267
May 2023278
Apr 2023269
Mar 2023264
Feb 2023261
Jan 2023254
Dec 2022233
Nov 2022226
Oct 2022199
Sept 2022250
Aug 2022270
Jul 2022280
Jun 2022252
May 2022265
Apr 2022282
Mar 2022249
Feb 2022237
Jan 2022244
Dec 2021233
Nov 2021171
Oct 2021219
Sept 2021214
Aug 2021185
Jul 2021179
Jun 2021176
May 2021170
Apr 2021162
Mar 2021147
Feb 2021142
Jan 2021133
Dec 2020122
Nov 2020136
Oct 2020145
Sept 2020135
Aug 2020121
Jul 2020117
Jun 2020119
May 2020116
Apr 2020122
Mar 2020117
Feb 2020110
Jan 2020107
Dec 2019106
Nov 2019113
Oct 2019105
Sept 2019120
Aug 2019136
Jul 2019122
Jun 2019131
May 2019147
Apr 2019139
Mar 2019138
Feb 2019151
Jan 2019131
Dec 2018136
Nov 2018140
Oct 2018149
Sept 2018164
Aug 2018161
Jul 2018181
Jun 2018193
May 2018178
Apr 2018169
Mar 2018159
Feb 2018167
Jan 2018166
Dec 2017148
Nov 2017140
Oct 2017148
Sept 2017170
Aug 2017152
Jul 2017167
Jun 2017167
May 2017175
Apr 2017171
Mar 2017157
Feb 2017152
Jan 2017152
Dec 2016147
Nov 2016152
Oct 2016164
Sept 2016182
Aug 2016182
Jul 2016182
Jun 2016182
May 2016177
Apr 2016177
Mar 2016170
Feb 2016167
Jan 2016160
Dec 2015167
Nov 2015167
Oct 2015175
Sept 2015173
Aug 2015174
Jul 2015170
Jun 2015167
May 2015157
Apr 2015141
Mar 2015136
Feb 2015136
Jan 2015154

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3401-67-retail-kg.