Staple Signals Français

Home › Burkina Faso

Millet in Zabré

CENTRE-EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 25% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

202–323

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

175–334

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 25% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 202 and 323 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 175 and 334 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Zabré: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 25% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 202 and 323 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 175 and 334 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 221–281 248 210–322 356 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 206–301 248 203–369 364 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 202–323 244 165–440 382 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 181–329 240 147–473 327 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 175–334 241 127–491 322 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026239
Aug 2026247
Jul 2026231
Jun 2026235
May 2026249
Apr 2026252
Mar 2026252
Feb 2026265
Jan 2026249
Dec 2025262
Nov 2025260
Oct 2025268
Sept 2025263
Aug 2025222
Jul 2025341
Jun 2025369
May 2025379
Apr 2025384
Mar 2025401
Feb 2025378
Jan 2025350
Dec 2024326
Nov 2024458
Oct 2024416
Sept 2024387
Aug 2024387
Jul 2024369
Jun 2024324
May 2024304
Apr 2024286
Mar 2024292
Feb 2024254
Jan 2024248
Dec 2023248
Nov 2023262
Oct 2023264
Sept 2023268
Aug 2023250
Jul 2023266
Jun 2023267
May 2023270
Apr 2023277
Mar 2023272
Feb 2023268
Jan 2023266
Dec 2022293
Nov 2022430
Oct 2022426
Sept 2022412
Aug 2022432
Jul 2022390
Jun 2022345
May 2022345
Apr 2022337
Mar 2022317
Feb 2022276
Jan 2022272
Dec 2021253
Nov 2021252
Oct 2021245
Sept 2021228
Aug 2021236
Jul 2021247
Jun 2021235
May 2021263
Apr 2021277
Mar 2021249
Feb 2021223
Jan 2021218
Dec 2020258
Nov 2020263
Oct 2020218
Sept 2020213
Aug 2020199
Jul 2020163
Jun 2020155
May 2020152
Apr 2020152
Mar 2020155
Feb 2020140
Jan 2020137
Dec 2019142
Nov 2019144
Oct 2019128
Sept 2019140
Aug 2019132
Jul 2019130
Jun 2019141
May 2019149
Apr 2019143
Mar 2019138
Feb 2019154
Jan 2019157
Dec 2018162
Nov 2018176
Oct 2018182
Sept 2018190
Aug 2018200
Jul 2018224
Jun 2018233
May 2018223
Apr 2018214
Mar 2018204
Feb 2018206
Jan 2018190
Dec 2017174
Nov 2017227
Oct 2017200
Sept 2017198
Aug 2017210
Jul 2017186
Jun 2017199
May 2017193
Apr 2017180
Mar 2017169
Feb 2017164
Jan 2017160
Dec 2016156
Nov 2016235
Oct 2016237
Sept 2016209
Aug 2016206
Jul 2016201
Jun 2016206
May 2016199
Apr 2016196
Mar 2016191
Feb 2016168
Jan 2016170
Dec 2015190
Nov 2015182
Oct 2015181
Sept 2015184
Aug 2015180
Jul 2015198
Jun 2015199
May 2015180
Apr 2015171
Mar 2015152
Feb 2015150
Jan 2015166

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3401-73-retail-kg.