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Food basket in Zabré

CENTRE-EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe).

Not included: cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

3,060–4,861

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,825–5,045

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 3,887 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 3,060 and 4,861 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,825 and 5,045 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Zabré: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 3,887 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 3,060 and 4,861 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,825 and 5,045 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,0008,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 3,529–4,319 3,892 3,352–4,879
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 3,276–4,524 3,773 3,095–5,524
Nov 2026
Next month		 3,060–4,861 3,743 2,619–6,450
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,880–4,980 3,760 2,461–6,705
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,825–5,045 3,789 2,193–6,711
Cost history (141 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20263,757
Aug 20263,887
Jul 20263,632
Jun 20263,677
May 20263,861
Apr 20263,913
Mar 20263,933
Feb 20264,105
Jan 20263,850
Dec 20253,923
Nov 20253,831
Oct 20254,147
Sept 20254,358
Aug 20253,985
Jul 20255,156
Jun 20255,767
May 20255,885
Apr 20255,924
Mar 20256,207
Feb 20255,927
Jan 20255,591
Dec 20244,978
Nov 20246,418
Oct 20245,975
Sept 20246,201
Aug 20246,190
Jul 20245,677
Jun 20245,031
May 20244,791
Apr 20244,411
Mar 20244,409
Feb 20243,835
Jan 20243,804
Dec 20233,664
Nov 20233,770
Oct 20233,807
Sept 20233,916
Aug 20233,751
Jul 20233,914
Jun 20233,897
May 20233,955
Apr 20234,039
Mar 20233,986
Feb 20233,941
Jan 20233,908
Dec 20224,207
Nov 20225,826
Oct 20225,724
Sept 20226,087
Aug 20226,367
Jul 20225,848
Jun 20225,294
May 20225,294
Apr 20225,198
Mar 20224,963
Feb 20224,455
Jan 20224,285
Dec 20214,046
Nov 20213,938
Oct 20213,763
Sept 20213,890
Aug 20213,856
Jul 20213,950
Jun 20213,797
May 20214,083
Apr 20214,138
Mar 20213,843
Feb 20213,405
Jan 20213,295
Dec 20203,742
Nov 20203,793
Oct 20203,257
Sept 20203,218
Aug 20203,029
Jul 20202,618
Jun 20202,519
May 20202,495
Apr 20202,485
Mar 20202,515
Feb 20202,360
Jan 20202,303
Dec 20192,244
Nov 20192,248
Oct 20192,027
Sept 20192,269
Aug 20192,187
Jul 20192,152
Jun 20192,300
May 20192,384
Apr 20192,323
Mar 20192,297
Feb 20192,482
Jan 20192,534
Dec 20182,489
Nov 20182,632
Oct 20182,733
Sept 20183,059
Aug 20183,205
Jul 20183,484
Jun 20183,557
May 20183,425
Apr 20183,329
Mar 20183,209
Feb 20183,241
Jan 20182,991
Dec 20172,720
Nov 20173,298
Oct 20173,053
Sept 20173,164
Aug 20173,213
Jul 20172,869
Jun 20173,013
May 20172,960
Apr 20172,813
Mar 20172,680
Feb 20172,607
Jan 20172,518
Dec 20162,385
Nov 20163,315
Oct 20163,352
Sept 20163,230
Aug 20163,143
Jul 20163,145
Jun 20163,190
May 20163,047
Apr 20163,070
Mar 20163,005
Feb 20162,713
Jan 20162,710
Dec 20152,854
Nov 20152,760
Oct 20152,716
Sept 20152,892
Aug 20152,848
Jul 20153,017
Jun 20153,011
May 20152,750
Apr 20152,626
Mar 20152,440
Feb 20152,376
Jan 20152,514

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burkina Faso

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 83% 96% 4% 2,526
Estimate (this month) 81% 96% 7% 2,519
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,515
In 2 months 79% 94% 13% 2,512
In 3 months 78% 94% 17% 2,508